Fine-tune team strengths to model injuries, form, or what-if scenarios
Each run draws new ratings around the real ones. Higher variance means bigger swings.
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Pre (Oct 27), 2026-27: Illinois Col 50%, Lawrence 50% at Lawrence.
Illinois Col's win probability against Lawrence has held at 50% over the last 6 updates — this matchup has settled.
Illinois Col's win probability against Lawrence has held at 58% over the last 6 updates — this matchup has settled.
Illinois Col's win probability against Lawrence has held at 65% over the last 6 updates — this matchup has settled.