Fine-tune team strengths to model injuries, form, or what-if scenarios
Each run draws new ratings around the real ones. Higher variance means bigger swings.
Grove City
Lancaster Bib
|
74
C
|
Overall |
86
B
|
|
78
C+
|
Power |
93
A-
|
|
68
D+
6099
|
Offensive |
97
A+
6099
|
|
Grove City
6099
Lancaster Bib
6099
|
||
|
90
A-
6099
|
Defensive |
77
C+
6099
|
|
Grove City
6099
Lancaster Bib
6099
|
||
|
70
C-
|
SoS (Current) |
73
C-
|
|
70
C-
|
SoS (Future) |
73
C-
|
Grove City
Lancaster Bib
| 263 #913 overall |
Overall | 136 #686 overall |
| 218 #880 overall |
Power | 62 #690 overall |
| 323 #985 overall |
Offensive | 20 #483 overall |
| 93 #692 overall |
Defensive | 228 #877 overall |
| 308 #971 overall |
SoS (Current) | 271 #934 overall |
| 308 #971 overall |
SoS (Future) | 271 #934 overall |
Wk 24 (Apr 7), 2025-26: Lancaster Bib 88%, Grove City 12% at Lancaster Bib.
Lancaster Bib's win probability against Grove City has held at 76% over the last 6 weeks — this matchup has settled.
Lancaster Bib's win probability against Grove City has held at 82% over the last 6 weeks — this matchup has settled.
Lancaster Bib's win probability against Grove City has held at 88% over the last 6 weeks — this matchup has settled.
| Week | At Grove City | Neutral | At Lancaster Bib |
|---|---|---|---|
| Pre | 40% | 49% | 59% |
| Wk 1 | 50% | 59% | 68% |
| Wk 2 | 74% | 81% | 87% |
| Wk 3 | 84% | 89% | 92% |
| Wk 4 | 81% | 86% | 91% |
| Wk 5 | 86% | 91% | 94% |
| Wk 6 | 89% | 92% | 95% |
| Wk 7 | 85% | 90% | 93% |
| Wk 13 | 77% | 84% | 89% |
| Wk 14 | 75% | 82% | 87% |
| Wk 15 | 74% | 81% | 87% |
| Wk 17 | 74% | 81% | 87% |
| Wk 18 | 75% | 82% | 87% |
| Wk 19 | 76% | 82% | 88% |
| Wk 20 | 76% | 82% | 88% |
| Wk 21 | 76% | 83% | 88% |
| Wk 22 | 76% | 82% | 88% |
| Wk 23 | 76% | 82% | 88% |
| Wk 24 | 76% | 82% | 88% |
Grove City
Lancaster Bib
|
0-1 (0%) |
Head to Head |
1-0 (100%) |
|
11-14 (44%) |
Overall |
20-8 (71.4%) |
|
7-4 (63.6%) |
Home |
10-2 (83.3%) |
|
3-8 (27.3%) |
Away |
8-6 (57.1%) |
|
0-0 (0%) |
Versus D3 Top 25 |
0-0 (0%) |
|
2-9 (18.2%) |
Versus > .500 Teams |
6-5 (54.5%) |
|
9-5 (64.3%) |
Versus < .500 Teams |
14-3 (82.4%) |
|
5-5 (50%) |
Last 10 Games |
7-3 (70%) |
Grove City
Lancaster Bib
| #661 Franciscan OH | Best Win | #469 Drew |
| #1041 Houghton | Worst Loss | #987 Wilson |
| 29 pts vs #1042 Carlow | Largest MOV | 54 pts vs #1061 Penn Col Tech |
| 16 pts vs #686 Lancaster Bib | Largest MOD | 29 pts vs #309 La Salle |
Grove City
Lancaster Bib
| 70 | Points per Game | 88.8 |
| 68 | Points Against | 74.3 |
| 71.7 | Home PPG | 94.4 |
| 62.5 | Home PA | 75.4 |
| 69.6 | Away PPG | 84.3 |
| 73.5 | Away PA | 73.3 |
| 292-356 | Opponent Record | 326-397 |
| 841.4 | Avg Opponent Rank | 816.5 |
| L 3 | Longest Streak | W 7 |
| L 1 | Current Streak | L 1 |
Grove City
Lancaster Bib
| Feb 24 | at Chatham (17-8) | L60-69 | Feb 24 | vs PSU-Harrisburg (18-11) | L57-72 |
| Feb 21 | at Thiel (3-19) | W62-50 | Feb 21 | vs Wilson (10-18) | W117-72 |
| Feb 18 | at Westminster PA (17-9) | L82-88 | Feb 14 | at PSU-Harrisburg (18-11) | W77-54 |
| Feb 14 | vs Waynesburg (6-20) | W94-73 | Feb 10 | vs Notre Dame MD (16-11) | W99-93 |
| Feb 11 | vs Allegheny (10-17) | W77-65 | Feb 7 | at Rosemont (4-18) | W70-47 |
| Feb 7 | at Bethany WV (9-17) | L81-93 | Feb 4 | at Wilson (10-18) | L89-94 |
| Feb 4 | at Geneva (10-17) | W73-67 | Jan 31 | vs Cairn (19-7) | L87-91 |
| Jan 31 | vs Wash & Jeff (23-7) | L61-72 | Jan 28 | vs PSU-Abington (6-22) | W101-70 |
| Jan 28 | vs Hiram (6-20) | W80-68 | Jan 24 | at Valley Forge (5-13) | W104-67 |
| Jan 24 | at St Vincent (15-10) | L75-81 | Jan 21 | vs Penn Col Tech (3-19) | W117-63 |
vs
Division III College Basketball