Fine-tune team strengths to model injuries, form, or what-if scenarios
Each run draws new ratings around the real ones. Higher variance means bigger swings.
Wk 24 (Apr 7), 2025-26: Montclair St 79%, Kean 21% at Kean.
Montclair St's win probability against Kean is trending down — from 82% to 79% over the last 6 weeks.
Montclair St's win probability against Kean has held at 85% over the last 6 weeks — this matchup has settled.
Montclair St's win probability against Kean has held at 90% over the last 6 weeks — this matchup has settled.