Fine-tune team strengths to model injuries, form, or what-if scenarios
Each run draws new ratings around the real ones. Higher variance means bigger swings.
Heidelberg
Otterbein
|
91
A-
|
Overall |
97
A+
|
|
88
B+
|
Power |
97
A+
|
|
90
A-
6099
|
Offensive |
85
B
6099
|
|
Heidelberg
6099
Otterbein
6099
|
||
|
82
B-
6099
|
Defensive |
98
A+
6099
|
|
Heidelberg
6099
Otterbein
6099
|
||
|
95
A
|
SoS (Current) |
94
A
|
|
95
A
|
SoS (Future) |
94
A
|
Heidelberg
Otterbein
| 80 #567 overall |
Overall | 20 #313 overall |
| 116 #766 overall |
Power | 27 #616 overall |
| 94 #706 overall |
Offensive | 146 #784 overall |
| 181 #820 overall |
Defensive | 14 #459 overall |
| 44 #642 overall |
SoS (Current) | 58 #665 overall |
| 44 #642 overall |
SoS (Future) | 58 #665 overall |
Wk 24 (Apr 7), 2025-26: Otterbein 68%, Heidelberg 32% at Heidelberg.
Otterbein's win probability against Heidelberg has held at 68% over the last 6 weeks — this matchup has settled.
Otterbein's win probability against Heidelberg has held at 76% over the last 6 weeks — this matchup has settled.
Otterbein's win probability against Heidelberg has held at 83% over the last 6 weeks — this matchup has settled.
| Week | At Heidelberg | Neutral | At Otterbein |
|---|---|---|---|
| Pre | 21% | 29% | 38% |
| Wk 1 | 57% | 66% | 74% |
| Wk 2 | 52% | 61% | 70% |
| Wk 3 | 68% | 76% | 82% |
| Wk 4 | 72% | 79% | 85% |
| Wk 5 | 83% | 88% | 92% |
| Wk 6 | 82% | 87% | 91% |
| Wk 7 | 81% | 86% | 91% |
| Wk 13 | 78% | 84% | 89% |
| Wk 14 | 81% | 86% | 91% |
| Wk 15 | 78% | 84% | 89% |
| Wk 17 | 75% | 82% | 87% |
| Wk 18 | 69% | 77% | 83% |
| Wk 19 | 68% | 76% | 83% |
| Wk 20 | 68% | 76% | 83% |
| Wk 21 | 69% | 76% | 83% |
| Wk 22 | 69% | 76% | 83% |
| Wk 23 | 68% | 76% | 83% |
| Wk 24 | 68% | 76% | 83% |
Heidelberg
Otterbein
|
1-2 (33.3%) |
Head to Head |
2-1 (66.7%) |
|
16-13 (55.2%) |
Overall |
23-6 (79.3%) |
|
4-7 (36.4%) |
Home |
13-3 (81.3%) |
|
12-6 (66.7%) |
Away |
7-3 (70%) |
|
3-5 (37.5%) |
Versus D3 Top 25 |
0-3 (0%) |
|
6-10 (37.5%) |
Versus > .500 Teams |
13-6 (68.4%) |
|
10-3 (76.9%) |
Versus < .500 Teams |
10-0 (100%) |
|
5-5 (50%) |
Last 10 Games |
7-3 (70%) |
Heidelberg
Otterbein
| #296 Mt Union | Best Win | #368 WI Platteville |
| #800 Ohio Wesleyan | Worst Loss | #567 Heidelberg |
| 21 pts vs #736 Marietta | Largest MOV | 37 pts vs #896 Allegheny |
| 28 pts vs #429 Ohio Northern | Largest MOD | 15 pts vs #148 Chicago |
Heidelberg
Otterbein
| 77.1 | Points per Game | 74.7 |
| 78.6 | Points Against | 66.1 |
| 76.6 | Home PPG | 75.6 |
| 82.4 | Home PA | 64.7 |
| 77.4 | Away PPG | 73 |
| 76.3 | Away PA | 68.4 |
| 429-347 | Opponent Record | 422-355 |
| 601.9 | Avg Opponent Rank | 619.6 |
| W 4 | Longest Streak | W 11 |
| L 1 | Current Streak | L 1 |
Heidelberg
Otterbein
| Mar 6 | at IL Wesleyan (26-5) | L51-62 | Mar 7 | at Chicago (24-5) | L66-81 |
| Feb 28 | at Otterbein (23-6) | W82-75 | Mar 6 | WI Platteville (18-10) | W57-52 |
| Feb 26 | at Mt Union (23-4) | W84-82 | Feb 28 | vs Heidelberg (16-13) | L75-82 |
| Feb 24 | at Muskingum (15-11) | W84-67 | Feb 26 | vs Ohio Northern (18-9) | W53-51 |
| Feb 21 | vs Capital (9-17) | L76-82 | Feb 21 | vs Muskingum (15-11) | W80-60 |
| Feb 18 | at Baldwin-Wallace (7-18) | W89-81 | Feb 18 | at Ohio Northern (18-9) | L53-54 |
| Feb 14 | at Marietta (9-16) | W107-86 | Feb 14 | at Capital (9-17) | W66-64 |
| Feb 11 | at Mt Union (23-4) | L67-85 | Feb 11 | vs Wilmington OH (11-15) | W87-77 |
| Feb 7 | vs Otterbein (23-6) | L83-85 | Feb 7 | at Heidelberg (16-13) | W85-83 |
| Jan 31 | at Muskingum (15-11) | L86-95 | Feb 4 | at Marietta (9-16) | W87-81 |
vs
Division III College Basketball