Fine-tune team strengths to model injuries, form, or what-if scenarios
Each run draws new ratings around the real ones. Higher variance means bigger swings.
Heidelberg
Ohio Northern
|
91
A-
|
Overall |
95
A
|
|
88
B+
|
Power |
96
A
|
|
90
A-
6099
|
Offensive |
81
B-
6099
|
|
Heidelberg
6099
Ohio Northern
6099
|
||
|
82
B-
6099
|
Defensive |
98
A+
6099
|
|
Heidelberg
6099
Ohio Northern
6099
|
||
|
95
A
|
SoS (Current) |
94
A
|
|
95
A
|
SoS (Future) |
94
A
|
Heidelberg
Ohio Northern
| 80 #567 overall |
Overall | 43 #429 overall |
| 116 #766 overall |
Power | 34 #630 overall |
| 94 #706 overall |
Offensive | 188 #836 overall |
| 181 #820 overall |
Defensive | 12 #434 overall |
| 44 #642 overall |
SoS (Current) | 53 #655 overall |
| 44 #642 overall |
SoS (Future) | 53 #655 overall |
Wk 24 (Apr 7), 2025-26: Ohio Northern 65%, Heidelberg 35% at Heidelberg.
Ohio Northern's win probability against Heidelberg has held at 65% over the last 6 weeks — this matchup has settled.
Ohio Northern's win probability against Heidelberg has held at 73% over the last 6 weeks — this matchup has settled.
Ohio Northern's win probability against Heidelberg has held at 80% over the last 6 weeks — this matchup has settled.
| Week | At Heidelberg | Neutral | At Ohio Northern |
|---|---|---|---|
| Pre | 28% | 37% | 46% |
| Wk 1 | 59% | 68% | 76% |
| Wk 2 | 68% | 76% | 82% |
| Wk 3 | 80% | 86% | 91% |
| Wk 4 | 85% | 90% | 93% |
| Wk 5 | 67% | 75% | 82% |
| Wk 6 | 60% | 69% | 77% |
| Wk 7 | 63% | 71% | 79% |
| Wk 13 | 67% | 75% | 82% |
| Wk 14 | 73% | 80% | 86% |
| Wk 15 | 68% | 76% | 83% |
| Wk 17 | 66% | 75% | 82% |
| Wk 18 | 65% | 73% | 81% |
| Wk 19 | 65% | 73% | 81% |
| Wk 20 | 65% | 73% | 81% |
| Wk 21 | 65% | 73% | 81% |
| Wk 22 | 65% | 73% | 81% |
| Wk 23 | 65% | 73% | 80% |
| Wk 24 | 65% | 73% | 80% |
Heidelberg
Ohio Northern
|
0-2 (0%) |
Head to Head |
2-0 (100%) |
|
16-13 (55.2%) |
Overall |
18-9 (66.7%) |
|
4-7 (36.4%) |
Home |
10-2 (83.3%) |
|
12-6 (66.7%) |
Away |
7-6 (53.8%) |
|
3-5 (37.5%) |
Versus D3 Top 25 |
2-3 (40%) |
|
6-10 (37.5%) |
Versus > .500 Teams |
7-8 (46.7%) |
|
10-3 (76.9%) |
Versus < .500 Teams |
11-1 (91.7%) |
|
5-5 (50%) |
Last 10 Games |
8-2 (80%) |
Heidelberg
Ohio Northern
| #296 Mt Union | Best Win | #296 Mt Union |
| #800 Ohio Wesleyan | Worst Loss | #753 Albion |
| 21 pts vs #736 Marietta | Largest MOV | 41 pts vs #998 Manchester |
| 28 pts vs #429 Ohio Northern | Largest MOD | 16 pts vs #609 Muskingum |
Heidelberg
Ohio Northern
| 77.1 | Points per Game | 74 |
| 78.6 | Points Against | 67.1 |
| 76.6 | Home PPG | 75.3 |
| 82.4 | Home PA | 67.5 |
| 77.4 | Away PPG | 73.2 |
| 76.3 | Away PA | 66.7 |
| 429-347 | Opponent Record | 384-339 |
| 601.9 | Avg Opponent Rank | 616.1 |
| W 4 | Longest Streak | W 7 |
| L 1 | Current Streak | L 1 |
Heidelberg
Ohio Northern
| Mar 6 | at IL Wesleyan (26-5) | L51-62 | Feb 26 | at Otterbein (23-6) | L51-53 |
| Feb 28 | at Otterbein (23-6) | W82-75 | Feb 24 | vs Wilmington OH (11-15) | W88-69 |
| Feb 26 | at Mt Union (23-4) | W84-82 | Feb 21 | vs Marietta (9-16) | W104-72 |
| Feb 24 | at Muskingum (15-11) | W84-67 | Feb 18 | vs Otterbein (23-6) | W54-53 |
| Feb 21 | vs Capital (9-17) | L76-82 | Feb 14 | at Muskingum (15-11) | L64-80 |
| Feb 18 | at Baldwin-Wallace (7-18) | W89-81 | Feb 11 | vs Baldwin-Wallace (7-18) | W77-67 |
| Feb 14 | at Marietta (9-16) | W107-86 | Feb 4 | at Wilmington OH (11-15) | W78-70 |
| Feb 11 | at Mt Union (23-4) | L67-85 | Jan 31 | at Capital (9-17) | W73-69 |
| Feb 7 | vs Otterbein (23-6) | L83-85 | Jan 28 | at Heidelberg (16-13) | W71-43 |
| Jan 31 | at Muskingum (15-11) | L86-95 | Jan 24 | vs Mt Union (23-4) | W64-50 |
vs
Division III College Basketball