Covenant vs Grinnell Game Prediction
PREDICTED
FINAL SCORE
POINT SPREAD
Grinnell by 17.19
TOTAL POINTS
203
UPDATED
Tuesday, October 27, 2026
See this week's CBB D3 predictions
PRESEASON RATINGS
Covenant
Grinnell 
|
64
D
|
Overall |
94
A
|
|
68
D+
|
Power |
94
A
|
|
96
A
|
Offensive |
99
A+
|
|
60
D-
|
Defensive |
63
D-
|
|
70
C-
|
SoS (Current) |
68
D+
|
|
70
C-
|
SoS (Full Season) |
68
D+
|
PRESEASON RANKINGS
Covenant
Grinnell
| 363 #1024 overall |
Overall | 52 #551 overall |
| 326 #988 overall |
Power | 57 #707 overall |
| 28 #611 overall |
Offensive | 3 #282 overall |
| 404 #1066 overall |
Defensive | 378 #1040 overall |
| 304 #966 overall |
SoS (Current) | 321 #983 overall |
| 304 #966 overall |
SoS (Full Season) | 321 #983 overall |
Grinnell#5290%Covenant#36310%Pre (Oct 27), 2026-27: Grinnell 90%, Covenant 10% at a neutral site.
Grinnell's win probability against Covenant is trending down — from 92% to 86% over the last 6 updates.
Grinnell's win probability against Covenant is trending down — from 94% to 90% over the last 6 updates.
Grinnell's win probability against Covenant is trending down — from 96% to 93% over the last 6 updates.
Grinnell favored
Covenant favored
Even, 50%
Drag across the chart
Week-by-week table
| Week | Season | At Covenant | Neutral | At Grinnell |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wk 17 | 2025-26 | 92% | 94% | 96% |
| Wk 18 | 2025-26 | 93% | 95% | 97% |
| Wk 19 | 2025-26 | 92% | 94% | 96% |
| Wk 20 | 2025-26 | 92% | 94% | 96% |
| Wk 21 | 2025-26 | 91% | 94% | 96% |
| Wk 22 | 2025-26 | 91% | 94% | 96% |
| Wk 23 | 2025-26 | 91% | 94% | 96% |
| Wk 24 | 2025-26 | 91% | 94% | 96% |
| Pre | 2026-27 | 86% | 90% | 93% |
2025-2026 RECORDS
Covenant
Grinnell
|
0-0 (0%) |
Head to Head |
0-0 (0%) |
|
6-18 (25%) |
Overall |
22-4 (84.6%) |
|
4-6 (40%) |
Home |
12-0 (100%) |
|
2-8 (20%) |
Away |
10-3 (76.9%) |
|
0-0 (0%) |
Versus D3 Top 25 |
0-1 (0%) |
|
0-8 (0%) |
Versus > .500 Teams |
7-3 (70%) |
|
6-10 (37.5%) |
Versus < .500 Teams |
15-1 (93.8%) |
|
3-7 (30%) |
Last 10 Games |
9-1 (90%) |
2025-2026 SUPERLATIVES
Covenant
Grinnell
| #884 Huntingdon | Best Win | #529 Occidental |
| #1045 J&W NC | Worst Loss | #940 Macalester |
| 27 pts vs #1051 Warren Wilson | Largest MOV | 65 pts vs #1054 Principia |
| 36 pts vs #841 Belhaven MS | Largest MOD | 32 pts vs #316 John Carroll |
OTHER 2025-2026 STATISTICS
Covenant
Grinnell
| 89.1 | Points per Game | 102.9 |
| 96.4 | Points Against | 87.8 |
| 92.1 | Home PPG | 105.3 |
| 91.2 | Home PA | 84.3 |
| 87.5 | Away PPG | 102.1 |
| 103.4 | Away PA | 88.6 |
| 262-336 | Opponent Record | 290-380 |
| 891.8 | Avg Opponent Rank | 821.2 |
| L 5 | Longest Streak | W 12 |
| L 5 | Current Streak | L 1 |
RECENT OPPONENTS
Covenant
Grinnell
| Feb 24 | at Belhaven MS (15-14) | L77-113 | Mar 6 | John Carroll (23-7) | L86-118 |
| Feb 21 | at Belhaven MS (15-14) | L88-100 | Feb 28 | vs Monmouth IL (20-7) | W85-56 |
| Feb 14 | vs LaGrange (12-13) | L88-91 | Feb 27 | vs Illinois Col (12-14) | W94-73 |
| Feb 11 | at Piedmont (9-15) | L73-97 | Feb 21 | at Cornell IA (6-19) | W88-75 |
| Feb 3 | at Maryville TN (21-5) | L73-98 | Feb 18 | vs Knox (10-15) | W108-98 |
| Jan 31 | vs Huntingdon (9-12) | W96-90 | Feb 14 | at Lake Forest (16-10) | W104-99 |
| Jan 30 | vs Asbury (6-19) | L88-91 | Feb 10 | vs Illinois Col (12-14) | W100-93 |
| Jan 23 | vs Warren Wilson (4-15) | W96-69 | Feb 4 | vs Monmouth IL (20-7) | W100-85 |
| Jan 20 | vs Maryville TN (21-5) | L84-96 | Jan 31 | at Lawrence (14-12) | W88-75 |
| Jan 17 | vs Piedmont (9-15) | W94-80 | Jan 27 | at Beloit (5-20) | W98-76 |