Fine-tune team strengths to model injuries, form, or what-if scenarios
Each run draws new ratings around the real ones. Higher variance means bigger swings.
Emerson
Worcester Tech
|
80
B-
|
Overall |
95
A
|
|
81
B-
|
Power |
94
A
|
|
83
B-
6099
|
Offensive |
85
B
6099
|
|
Emerson
6099
Worcester Tech
6099
|
||
|
79
C+
6099
|
Defensive |
95
A
6099
|
|
Emerson
6099
Worcester Tech
6099
|
||
|
92
A-
|
SoS (Current) |
88
B+
|
|
92
A-
|
SoS (Future) |
88
B+
|
Emerson
Worcester Tech
| 197 #806 overall |
Overall | 39 #408 overall |
| 184 #844 overall |
Power | 51 #675 overall |
| 169 #814 overall |
Offensive | 142 #780 overall |
| 213 #857 overall |
Defensive | 39 #569 overall |
| 71 #685 overall |
SoS (Current) | 121 #754 overall |
| 71 #685 overall |
SoS (Future) | 121 #754 overall |
Wk 24 (Apr 7), 2025-26: Worcester Tech 72%, Emerson 28% at Emerson.
Worcester Tech's win probability against Emerson has held at 72% over the last 6 weeks — this matchup has settled.
Worcester Tech's win probability against Emerson has held at 79% over the last 6 weeks — this matchup has settled.
Worcester Tech's win probability against Emerson has held at 85% over the last 6 weeks — this matchup has settled.
| Week | At Emerson | Neutral | At Worcester Tech |
|---|---|---|---|
| Pre | 82% | 87% | 92% |
| Wk 1 | 84% | 89% | 93% |
| Wk 2 | 81% | 87% | 91% |
| Wk 3 | 90% | 94% | 96% |
| Wk 4 | 84% | 89% | 93% |
| Wk 5 | 69% | 77% | 83% |
| Wk 6 | 66% | 74% | 81% |
| Wk 7 | 72% | 79% | 85% |
| Wk 13 | 82% | 88% | 92% |
| Wk 14 | 79% | 85% | 90% |
| Wk 15 | 80% | 86% | 90% |
| Wk 17 | 76% | 83% | 88% |
| Wk 18 | 73% | 80% | 86% |
| Wk 19 | 72% | 79% | 85% |
| Wk 20 | 72% | 79% | 85% |
| Wk 21 | 72% | 80% | 86% |
| Wk 22 | 72% | 80% | 86% |
| Wk 23 | 72% | 79% | 85% |
| Wk 24 | 72% | 79% | 85% |
Emerson
Worcester Tech
|
0-2 (0%) |
Head to Head |
2-0 (100%) |
|
9-17 (34.6%) |
Overall |
21-6 (77.8%) |
|
2-10 (16.7%) |
Home |
11-3 (78.6%) |
|
7-6 (53.8%) |
Away |
9-2 (81.8%) |
|
0-3 (0%) |
Versus D3 Top 25 |
2-1 (66.7%) |
|
5-11 (31.3%) |
Versus > .500 Teams |
10-5 (66.7%) |
|
4-6 (40%) |
Versus < .500 Teams |
11-1 (91.7%) |
|
2-8 (20%) |
Last 10 Games |
7-3 (70%) |
Emerson
Worcester Tech
| #505 W Connecticut | Best Win | #336 Babson |
| #906 MIT | Worst Loss | #720 Clark MA |
| 29 pts vs #642 Wheaton MA | Largest MOV | 46 pts vs #797 Springfield |
| 34 pts vs #221 Tufts | Largest MOD | 22 pts vs #642 Wheaton MA |
Emerson
Worcester Tech
| 72.2 | Points per Game | 75 |
| 76.5 | Points Against | 67 |
| 73.7 | Home PPG | 78.2 |
| 80.9 | Home PA | 67.8 |
| 72.6 | Away PPG | 73.8 |
| 71.8 | Away PA | 66.4 |
| 393-312 | Opponent Record | 383-351 |
| 635.3 | Avg Opponent Rank | 691.2 |
| L 6 | Longest Streak | W 6 |
| L 2 | Current Streak | L 2 |
Emerson
Worcester Tech
| Feb 21 | at Springfield (10-17) | L58-72 | Mar 6 | Amherst (19-8) | L46-63 |
| Feb 18 | vs Worcester Tech (21-6) | L75-83 | Feb 27 | vs Wheaton MA (18-11) | L60-82 |
| Feb 14 | at Clark MA (12-14) | W81-72 | Feb 21 | vs Wheaton MA (18-11) | W77-72 |
| Feb 11 | vs Babson (22-7) | L68-82 | Feb 18 | at Emerson (9-17) | W83-75 |
| Feb 7 | vs MIT (6-20) | L77-86 | Feb 14 | at MIT (6-20) | W70-65 |
| Jan 31 | at Wheaton MA (18-11) | W84-55 | Feb 11 | vs Coast Guard (8-17) | W90-66 |
| Jan 28 | at Salve Regina (19-8) | L74-77 | Feb 7 | vs Salve Regina (19-8) | W70-58 |
| Jan 24 | vs Coast Guard (8-17) | L77-85 | Feb 4 | at Springfield (10-17) | W66-54 |
| Jan 22 | vs Springfield (10-17) | L73-89 | Jan 28 | vs Clark MA (12-14) | L76-86 |
| Jan 20 | at Worcester Tech (21-6) | L55-84 | Jan 24 | vs Babson (22-7) | W78-72 |
vs
Division III College Basketball