Fine-tune team strengths to model injuries, form, or what-if scenarios
Each run draws new ratings around the real ones. Higher variance means bigger swings.
Emerson
Springfield
|
80
B-
|
Overall |
81
B-
|
|
81
B-
|
Power |
80
B-
|
|
83
B-
6099
|
Offensive |
73
C-
6099
|
|
Emerson
6099
Springfield
6099
|
||
|
79
C+
6099
|
Defensive |
88
B+
6099
|
|
Emerson
6099
Springfield
6099
|
||
|
92
A-
|
SoS (Current) |
90
A-
|
|
92
A-
|
SoS (Future) |
90
A-
|
Emerson
Springfield
| 197 #806 overall |
Overall | 190 #797 overall |
| 184 #844 overall |
Power | 201 #861 overall |
| 169 #814 overall |
Offensive | 268 #928 overall |
| 213 #857 overall |
Defensive | 114 #731 overall |
| 71 #685 overall |
SoS (Current) | 95 #718 overall |
| 71 #685 overall |
SoS (Future) | 95 #718 overall |
Wk 24 (Apr 7), 2025-26: Emerson 63%, Springfield 37% at Emerson.
Emerson's win probability against Springfield has held at 44% over the last 6 weeks — this matchup has settled.
Emerson's win probability against Springfield has held at 54% over the last 6 weeks — this matchup has settled.
Emerson's win probability against Springfield has held at 63% over the last 6 weeks — this matchup has settled.
| Week | At Springfield | Neutral | At Emerson |
|---|---|---|---|
| Pre | 44% | 53% | 63% |
| Wk 1 | 41% | 51% | 60% |
| Wk 2 | 33% | 43% | 52% |
| Wk 3 | 19% | 26% | 34% |
| Wk 4 | 43% | 53% | 62% |
| Wk 5 | 67% | 75% | 82% |
| Wk 6 | 70% | 78% | 84% |
| Wk 7 | 64% | 73% | 80% |
| Wk 13 | 44% | 54% | 63% |
| Wk 14 | 47% | 57% | 66% |
| Wk 15 | 46% | 55% | 65% |
| Wk 17 | 48% | 57% | 66% |
| Wk 18 | 43% | 53% | 62% |
| Wk 19 | 44% | 54% | 63% |
| Wk 20 | 44% | 54% | 63% |
| Wk 21 | 44% | 54% | 63% |
| Wk 22 | 44% | 54% | 63% |
| Wk 23 | 44% | 53% | 63% |
| Wk 24 | 44% | 54% | 63% |
Emerson
Springfield
|
0-2 (0%) |
Head to Head |
2-0 (100%) |
|
9-17 (34.6%) |
Overall |
10-17 (37%) |
|
2-10 (16.7%) |
Home |
6-6 (50%) |
|
7-6 (53.8%) |
Away |
3-10 (23.1%) |
|
0-3 (0%) |
Versus D3 Top 25 |
0-2 (0%) |
|
5-11 (31.3%) |
Versus > .500 Teams |
2-15 (11.8%) |
|
4-6 (40%) |
Versus < .500 Teams |
8-2 (80%) |
|
2-8 (20%) |
Last 10 Games |
4-6 (40%) |
Emerson
Springfield
| #505 W Connecticut | Best Win | #407 Amherst |
| #906 MIT | Worst Loss | #961 Washington MD |
| 29 pts vs #642 Wheaton MA | Largest MOV | 29 pts vs #1030 Buffalo St |
| 34 pts vs #221 Tufts | Largest MOD | 46 pts vs #408 Worcester Tech |
Emerson
Springfield
| 72.2 | Points per Game | 67.3 |
| 76.5 | Points Against | 71.3 |
| 73.7 | Home PPG | 68.1 |
| 80.9 | Home PA | 68.1 |
| 72.6 | Away PPG | 65.8 |
| 71.8 | Away PA | 75.7 |
| 393-312 | Opponent Record | 400-318 |
| 635.3 | Avg Opponent Rank | 662.3 |
| L 6 | Longest Streak | L 3 |
| L 2 | Current Streak | L 2 |
Emerson
Springfield
| Feb 21 | at Springfield (10-17) | L58-72 | Feb 25 | at Wheaton MA (18-11) | L52-60 |
| Feb 18 | vs Worcester Tech (21-6) | L75-83 | Feb 24 | at Wheaton MA (18-11) | L52-60 |
| Feb 14 | at Clark MA (12-14) | W81-72 | Feb 21 | vs Emerson (9-17) | W72-58 |
| Feb 11 | vs Babson (22-7) | L68-82 | Feb 18 | vs Clark MA (12-14) | W76-72 |
| Feb 7 | vs MIT (6-20) | L77-86 | Feb 11 | at Salve Regina (19-8) | L57-67 |
| Jan 31 | at Wheaton MA (18-11) | W84-55 | Feb 7 | at Babson (22-7) | L56-71 |
| Jan 28 | at Salve Regina (19-8) | L74-77 | Feb 4 | vs Worcester Tech (21-6) | L54-66 |
| Jan 24 | vs Coast Guard (8-17) | L77-85 | Jan 31 | at Coast Guard (8-17) | W93-81 |
| Jan 22 | vs Springfield (10-17) | L73-89 | Jan 28 | at MIT (6-20) | W79-69 |
| Jan 20 | at Worcester Tech (21-6) | L55-84 | Jan 24 | vs Wheaton MA (18-11) | L65-70 |
vs
Division III College Basketball