Fine-tune team strengths to model injuries, form, or what-if scenarios
Each run draws new ratings around the real ones. Higher variance means bigger swings.
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Wk 1 (Nov 6), 2026-27: College of NJ 53%, Drew 47% at a neutral site.
College of NJ's win probability against Drew has held at 45% over the last 6 updates — this matchup has settled.
College of NJ's win probability against Drew has held at 53% over the last 6 updates — this matchup has settled.
College of NJ's win probability against Drew has held at 61% over the last 6 updates — this matchup has settled.