Fine-tune team strengths to model injuries, form, or what-if scenarios
Each run draws new ratings around the real ones. Higher variance means bigger swings.
Wk 24 (Apr 7), 2025-26: Lake Forest 77%, Cornell IA 23% at Cornell IA.
Lake Forest's win probability against Cornell IA has held at 77% over the last 6 weeks — this matchup has settled.
Lake Forest's win probability against Cornell IA has held at 84% over the last 6 weeks — this matchup has settled.
Lake Forest's win probability against Cornell IA has held at 89% over the last 6 weeks — this matchup has settled.