Fine-tune team strengths to model injuries, form, or what-if scenarios
Each run draws new ratings around the real ones. Higher variance means bigger swings.
Carleton MN
Concordia Mhd
|
84
B
|
Overall |
92
A-
|
|
79
C+
|
Power |
89
B+
|
|
80
B-
6099
|
Offensive |
82
B-
6099
|
|
Carleton MN
6099
Concordia Mhd
6099
|
||
|
78
C+
6099
|
Defensive |
92
A-
6099
|
|
Carleton MN
6099
Concordia Mhd
6099
|
||
|
78
C+
|
SoS (Current) |
79
C+
|
|
78
C+
|
SoS (Future) |
79
C+
|
Carleton MN
Concordia Mhd
| 160 #733 overall |
Overall | 78 #562 overall |
| 209 #870 overall |
Power | 103 #747 overall |
| 198 #849 overall |
Offensive | 177 #824 overall |
| 218 #864 overall |
Defensive | 77 #664 overall |
| 224 #884 overall |
SoS (Current) | 209 #866 overall |
| 224 #884 overall |
SoS (Future) | 209 #866 overall |
Wk 24 (Apr 7), 2025-26: Concordia Mhd 80%, Carleton MN 20% at Concordia Mhd.
Concordia Mhd's win probability against Carleton MN has held at 65% over the last 6 weeks — this matchup has settled.
Concordia Mhd's win probability against Carleton MN has held at 73% over the last 6 weeks — this matchup has settled.
Concordia Mhd's win probability against Carleton MN has held at 80% over the last 6 weeks — this matchup has settled.
| Week | At Carleton MN | Neutral | At Concordia Mhd |
|---|---|---|---|
| Pre | 37% | 46% | 56% |
| Wk 1 | 37% | 46% | 56% |
| Wk 2 | 40% | 50% | 59% |
| Wk 3 | 50% | 60% | 69% |
| Wk 4 | 52% | 61% | 70% |
| Wk 5 | 41% | 50% | 60% |
| Wk 6 | 28% | 36% | 46% |
| Wk 7 | 40% | 49% | 59% |
| Wk 13 | 57% | 66% | 75% |
| Wk 14 | 60% | 68% | 76% |
| Wk 15 | 59% | 68% | 76% |
| Wk 17 | 62% | 71% | 78% |
| Wk 18 | 65% | 73% | 80% |
| Wk 19 | 65% | 73% | 80% |
| Wk 20 | 64% | 73% | 80% |
| Wk 21 | 64% | 73% | 80% |
| Wk 22 | 64% | 73% | 80% |
| Wk 23 | 65% | 73% | 80% |
| Wk 24 | 65% | 73% | 80% |
Carleton MN
Concordia Mhd
|
1-2 (33.3%) |
Head to Head |
2-1 (66.7%) |
|
15-11 (57.7%) |
Overall |
19-7 (73.1%) |
|
8-3 (72.7%) |
Home |
10-1 (90.9%) |
|
7-6 (53.8%) |
Away |
8-6 (57.1%) |
|
1-0 (100%) |
Versus D3 Top 25 |
0-2 (0%) |
|
6-8 (42.9%) |
Versus > .500 Teams |
7-7 (50%) |
|
9-3 (75%) |
Versus < .500 Teams |
12-0 (100%) |
|
6-4 (60%) |
Last 10 Games |
8-2 (80%) |
Carleton MN
Concordia Mhd
| #273 Gust Adolphus | Best Win | #591 St John's MN |
| #984 Martin Luther | Worst Loss | #733 Carleton MN |
| 20 pts vs #1044 St Mary's MN | Largest MOV | 31 pts vs #940 Macalester |
| 23 pts vs #591 St John's MN | Largest MOD | 25 pts vs #593 Guilford |
Carleton MN
Concordia Mhd
| 75.5 | Points per Game | 76.7 |
| 75.7 | Points Against | 70.4 |
| 76.9 | Home PPG | 79.5 |
| 73.9 | Home PA | 67.5 |
| 75.5 | Away PPG | 74.1 |
| 77.2 | Away PA | 73.4 |
| 329-352 | Opponent Record | 334-351 |
| 773.3 | Avg Opponent Rank | 764.1 |
| W 4 | Longest Streak | W 6 |
| L 1 | Current Streak | L 1 |
Carleton MN
Concordia Mhd
| Feb 24 | at Concordia Mhd (19-7) | L52-74 | Feb 26 | at St John's MN (16-12) | L68-75 |
| Feb 21 | at St Olaf (15-11) | W80-68 | Feb 24 | vs Carleton MN (15-11) | W74-52 |
| Feb 14 | vs Bethel MN (12-14) | W81-72 | Feb 21 | at St Scholastica (7-20) | W87-74 |
| Feb 11 | at Gust Adolphus (27-3) | W74-70 | Feb 18 | vs St Olaf (15-11) | W74-59 |
| Feb 7 | at St John's MN (16-12) | L58-81 | Feb 14 | vs Macalester (7-18) | W95-64 |
| Feb 4 | at Concordia Mhd (19-7) | L73-77 | Feb 7 | vs Hamline (15-10) | W76-64 |
| Jan 31 | vs Augsburg (17-10) | W85-81 | Feb 4 | vs Carleton MN (15-11) | W77-73 |
| Jan 28 | at St Mary's MN (1-24) | W83-75 | Jan 31 | at Gust Adolphus (27-3) | L60-70 |
| Jan 24 | vs St Scholastica (7-20) | W74-63 | Jan 28 | vs St John's MN (16-12) | W71-69 |
| Jan 17 | vs St John's MN (16-12) | L51-70 | Jan 24 | at Bethel MN (12-14) | W79-74 |
vs
Division III College Basketball