Fine-tune team strengths to model injuries, form, or what-if scenarios
Each run draws new ratings around the real ones. Higher variance means bigger swings.
Hardin-Simmons
Chapman
|
92
A-
|
Overall |
94
A
|
|
92
A-
|
Power |
92
A-
|
|
94
A
6099
|
Offensive |
83
B-
6099
|
|
Hardin-Simmons
6099
Chapman
6099
|
||
|
86
B
6099
|
Defensive |
94
A
6099
|
|
Hardin-Simmons
6099
Chapman
6099
|
||
|
91
A-
|
SoS (Current) |
92
A-
|
|
91
A-
|
SoS (Future) |
92
A-
|
Hardin-Simmons
Chapman
| 73 #551 overall |
Overall | 48 #459 overall |
| 70 #702 overall |
Power | 75 #710 overall |
| 54 #628 overall |
Offensive | 173 #819 overall |
| 141 #771 overall |
Defensive | 48 #590 overall |
| 84 #702 overall |
SoS (Current) | 69 #682 overall |
| 84 #702 overall |
SoS (Future) | 69 #682 overall |
Wk 24 (Apr 7), 2025-26: Chapman 58%, Hardin-Simmons 42% at Chapman.
Chapman's win probability against Hardin-Simmons is trending down — from 42% to 39% over the last 6 weeks.
Chapman's win probability against Hardin-Simmons has held at 49% over the last 6 weeks — this matchup has settled.
Chapman's win probability against Hardin-Simmons is trending down — from 61% to 58% over the last 6 weeks.
| Week | At Hardin-Simmons | Neutral | At Chapman |
|---|---|---|---|
| Pre | 38% | 47% | 57% |
| Wk 1 | 49% | 59% | 68% |
| Wk 2 | 22% | 30% | 39% |
| Wk 3 | 31% | 39% | 49% |
| Wk 4 | 30% | 39% | 48% |
| Wk 5 | 53% | 63% | 71% |
| Wk 6 | 49% | 59% | 68% |
| Wk 7 | 57% | 66% | 74% |
| Wk 13 | 39% | 48% | 58% |
| Wk 14 | 41% | 50% | 60% |
| Wk 15 | 40% | 50% | 59% |
| Wk 17 | 36% | 45% | 55% |
| Wk 18 | 42% | 51% | 61% |
| Wk 19 | 40% | 49% | 59% |
| Wk 20 | 40% | 49% | 59% |
| Wk 21 | 39% | 49% | 58% |
| Wk 22 | 39% | 49% | 58% |
| Wk 23 | 39% | 49% | 58% |
| Wk 24 | 39% | 49% | 58% |
Hardin-Simmons
Chapman
|
0-1 (0%) |
Head to Head |
1-0 (100%) |
|
16-10 (61.5%) |
Overall |
18-9 (66.7%) |
|
9-2 (81.8%) |
Home |
12-2 (85.7%) |
|
6-7 (46.2%) |
Away |
6-7 (46.2%) |
|
0-1 (0%) |
Versus D3 Top 25 |
3-3 (50%) |
|
4-9 (30.8%) |
Versus > .500 Teams |
8-8 (50%) |
|
12-1 (92.3%) |
Versus < .500 Teams |
10-1 (90.9%) |
|
8-2 (80%) |
Last 10 Games |
8-2 (80%) |
Hardin-Simmons
Chapman
| #370 M Hardin-Baylor | Best Win | #298 Redlands |
| #851 TX Lutheran | Worst Loss | #694 Cal Lutheran |
| 40 pts vs #781 Schreiner | Largest MOV | 30 pts vs #990 Caltech |
| 20 pts vs #380 Concordia TX | Largest MOD | 29 pts vs #298 Redlands |
Hardin-Simmons
Chapman
| 84.2 | Points per Game | 74.5 |
| 79.9 | Points Against | 71.4 |
| 87.6 | Home PPG | 75.9 |
| 82.6 | Home PA | 68.9 |
| 83.4 | Away PPG | 73 |
| 79.4 | Away PA | 74 |
| 368-321 | Opponent Record | 393-314 |
| 646.8 | Avg Opponent Rank | 633.6 |
| W 6 | Longest Streak | W 7 |
| L 1 | Current Streak | L 1 |
Hardin-Simmons
Chapman
| Feb 28 | vs M Hardin-Baylor (18-8) | L81-90 | Mar 1 | at Redlands (24-6) | L64-93 |
| Feb 27 | vs Howard Payne (10-15) | W98-93 | Feb 27 | at Claremont M.S. (22-5) | W79-68 |
| Feb 21 | at E Texas Bap (7-19) | W91-83 | Feb 21 | at Caltech (2-21) | W95-65 |
| Feb 14 | vs M Hardin-Baylor (18-8) | W86-80 | Feb 18 | vs Occidental (17-9) | W86-79 |
| Feb 10 | at M Hardin-Baylor (18-8) | L90-93 | Feb 14 | vs La Verne (4-21) | W79-75 |
| Feb 5 | at Howard Payne (10-15) | W83-68 | Feb 7 | at Pomona-Pitzer (9-15) | W65-52 |
| Jan 31 | vs E Texas Bap (7-19) | W80-68 | Feb 4 | vs Whittier (11-12) | W68-62 |
| Jan 17 | vs Howard Payne (10-15) | W101-86 | Jan 31 | vs Claremont M.S. (22-5) | W72-71 |
| Jan 6 | at McMurry (8-17) | W91-82 | Jan 28 | at Redlands (24-6) | L66-76 |
| Jan 5 | vs Colorado Col (12-16) | W80-70 | Jan 24 | at La Verne (4-21) | W81-70 |
vs
Division III College Basketball