Fine-tune team strengths to model injuries, form, or what-if scenarios
Each run draws new ratings around the real ones. Higher variance means bigger swings.
Wk 24 (Apr 7), 2025-26: Chapman 81%, Emerson 19% at Chapman.
Chapman's win probability against Emerson is trending down — from 69% to 66% over the last 6 weeks.
Chapman's win probability against Emerson is trending down — from 77% to 74% over the last 6 weeks.
Chapman's win probability against Emerson has held at 81% over the last 6 weeks — this matchup has settled.