Fine-tune team strengths to model injuries, form, or what-if scenarios
Each run draws new ratings around the real ones. Higher variance means bigger swings.
N Central MN
Carleton MN
|
75
C
|
Overall |
84
B
|
|
74
C
|
Power |
79
C+
|
|
86
B
6099
|
Offensive |
80
B-
6099
|
|
N Central MN
6099
Carleton MN
6099
|
||
|
68
D+
6099
|
Defensive |
78
C+
6099
|
|
N Central MN
6099
Carleton MN
6099
|
||
|
73
C-
|
SoS (Current) |
78
C+
|
|
73
C-
|
SoS (Future) |
78
C+
|
N Central MN
Carleton MN
| 247 #891 overall |
Overall | 160 #733 overall |
| 257 #919 overall |
Power | 209 #870 overall |
| 134 #765 overall |
Offensive | 198 #849 overall |
| 324 #986 overall |
Defensive | 218 #864 overall |
| 269 #932 overall |
SoS (Current) | 224 #884 overall |
| 269 #932 overall |
SoS (Future) | 224 #884 overall |
Wk 24 (Apr 7), 2025-26: Carleton MN 69%, N Central MN 31% at Carleton MN.
Carleton MN's win probability against N Central MN is trending down — from 54% to 51% over the last 6 weeks.
Carleton MN's win probability against N Central MN is trending down — from 63% to 60% over the last 6 weeks.
Carleton MN's win probability against N Central MN is trending down — from 72% to 69% over the last 6 weeks.
| Week | At N Central MN | Neutral | At Carleton MN |
|---|---|---|---|
| Pre | 42% | 52% | 61% |
| Wk 1 | 54% | 63% | 72% |
| Wk 2 | 56% | 65% | 74% |
| Wk 3 | 64% | 73% | 80% |
| Wk 4 | 63% | 72% | 79% |
| Wk 5 | 66% | 74% | 81% |
| Wk 6 | 72% | 79% | 85% |
| Wk 7 | 61% | 70% | 78% |
| Wk 13 | 58% | 67% | 75% |
| Wk 14 | 56% | 66% | 74% |
| Wk 15 | 58% | 67% | 75% |
| Wk 17 | 55% | 65% | 73% |
| Wk 18 | 54% | 63% | 72% |
| Wk 19 | 53% | 63% | 71% |
| Wk 20 | 51% | 60% | 69% |
| Wk 21 | 51% | 60% | 69% |
| Wk 22 | 51% | 60% | 69% |
| Wk 23 | 51% | 60% | 69% |
| Wk 24 | 51% | 60% | 69% |
N Central MN
Carleton MN
|
0-1 (0%) |
Head to Head |
1-0 (100%) |
|
13-17 (43.3%) |
Overall |
15-11 (57.7%) |
|
7-5 (58.3%) |
Home |
8-3 (72.7%) |
|
4-9 (30.8%) |
Away |
7-6 (53.8%) |
|
0-1 (0%) |
Versus D3 Top 25 |
1-0 (100%) |
|
1-12 (7.7%) |
Versus > .500 Teams |
6-8 (42.9%) |
|
12-5 (70.6%) |
Versus < .500 Teams |
9-3 (75%) |
|
9-1 (90%) |
Last 10 Games |
6-4 (60%) |
N Central MN
Carleton MN
| #856 Bethany Luth | Best Win | #273 Gust Adolphus |
| #968 Crown MN | Worst Loss | #984 Martin Luther |
| 25 pts vs #968 Crown MN | Largest MOV | 20 pts vs #1044 St Mary's MN |
| 46 pts vs #176 St Thomas MN | Largest MOD | 23 pts vs #591 St John's MN |
N Central MN
Carleton MN
| 78.5 | Points per Game | 75.5 |
| 82.8 | Points Against | 75.7 |
| 85.3 | Home PPG | 76.9 |
| 83.2 | Home PA | 73.9 |
| 75.8 | Away PPG | 75.5 |
| 82.5 | Away PA | 77.2 |
| 355-431 | Opponent Record | 329-352 |
| 808.9 | Avg Opponent Rank | 773.3 |
| L 9 | Longest Streak | W 4 |
| W 2 | Current Streak | L 1 |
N Central MN
Carleton MN
| Mar 14 | vs Crown MN (10-16) | W76-51 | Feb 24 | at Concordia Mhd (19-7) | L52-74 |
| Mar 4 | Crown MN (10-16) | W76-70 | Feb 21 | at St Olaf (15-11) | W80-68 |
| Feb 25 | vs Bethany Luth (15-12) | L78-92 | Feb 14 | vs Bethel MN (12-14) | W81-72 |
| Feb 21 | vs Bethany Luth (15-12) | W102-96 | Feb 11 | at Gust Adolphus (27-3) | W74-70 |
| Feb 19 | at Martin Luther (10-14) | W105-87 | Feb 7 | at St John's MN (16-12) | L58-81 |
| Feb 14 | at Northwestern MN (6-19) | W92-75 | Feb 4 | at Concordia Mhd (19-7) | L73-77 |
| Feb 11 | vs MN Morris (10-14) | W89-78 | Jan 31 | vs Augsburg (17-10) | W85-81 |
| Feb 7 | vs Crown MN (10-16) | W86-83 | Jan 28 | at St Mary's MN (1-24) | W83-75 |
| Jan 31 | at WI Superior (6-19) | W77-62 | Jan 24 | vs St Scholastica (7-20) | W74-63 |
| Jan 28 | vs Martin Luther (10-14) | W86-83 | Jan 17 | vs St John's MN (16-12) | L51-70 |
vs
Division III College Basketball