Fine-tune team strengths to model injuries, form, or what-if scenarios
Each run draws new ratings around the real ones. Higher variance means bigger swings.
Wk 24 (Apr 7), 2025-26: Calvin 80%, Augustana IL 20% at Calvin.
Calvin's win probability against Augustana IL has held at 65% over the last 6 weeks — this matchup has settled.
Calvin's win probability against Augustana IL has held at 73% over the last 6 weeks — this matchup has settled.
Calvin's win probability against Augustana IL has held at 80% over the last 6 weeks — this matchup has settled.