Fine-tune team strengths to model injuries, form, or what-if scenarios
Each run draws new ratings around the real ones. Higher variance means bigger swings.
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Pre (Oct 27), 2026-27: WI Whitewater 94%, Caltech 6% at Caltech.
WI Whitewater's win probability against Caltech is trending down — from 97% to 94% over the last 6 updates.
WI Whitewater's win probability against Caltech has held at 96% over the last 6 updates — this matchup has settled.
WI Whitewater's win probability against Caltech has held at 97% over the last 6 updates — this matchup has settled.