Fine-tune team strengths to model injuries, form, or what-if scenarios
Each run draws new ratings around the real ones. Higher variance means bigger swings.
See this week's CBB D3 predictions →
Pre (Oct 27), 2026-27: Chapman 51%, Cal Lutheran 49% at Cal Lutheran.
Chapman's win probability against Cal Lutheran has held at 51% over the last 6 updates — this matchup has settled.
Chapman's win probability against Cal Lutheran has held at 59% over the last 6 updates — this matchup has settled.
Chapman's win probability against Cal Lutheran has held at 66% over the last 6 updates — this matchup has settled.