Fine-tune team strengths to model injuries, form, or what-if scenarios
Each run draws new ratings around the real ones. Higher variance means bigger swings.
Augustana IL
Elmhurst
|
89
B+
|
Overall |
97
A+
|
|
90
A-
|
Power |
94
A
|
|
91
A-
6099
|
Offensive |
90
A-
6099
|
|
Augustana IL
6099
Elmhurst
6099
|
||
|
83
B-
6099
|
Defensive |
92
A-
6099
|
|
Augustana IL
6099
Elmhurst
6099
|
||
|
98
A+
|
SoS (Current) |
97
A+
|
|
98
A+
|
SoS (Future) |
97
A+
|
Augustana IL
Elmhurst
| 109 #639 overall |
Overall | 26 #345 overall |
| 97 #741 overall |
Power | 50 #672 overall |
| 82 #677 overall |
Offensive | 100 #715 overall |
| 164 #800 overall |
Defensive | 72 #652 overall |
| 7 #493 overall |
SoS (Current) | 17 #569 overall |
| 7 #493 overall |
SoS (Future) | 17 #569 overall |
Wk 24 (Apr 7), 2025-26: Elmhurst 53%, Augustana IL 47% at Augustana IL.
Elmhurst's win probability against Augustana IL has held at 53% over the last 6 weeks — this matchup has settled.
Elmhurst's win probability against Augustana IL has held at 62% over the last 6 weeks — this matchup has settled.
Elmhurst's win probability against Augustana IL has held at 71% over the last 6 weeks — this matchup has settled.
| Week | At Augustana IL | Neutral | At Elmhurst |
|---|---|---|---|
| Pre | 22% | 29% | 38% |
| Wk 1 | 22% | 29% | 38% |
| Wk 2 | 27% | 35% | 45% |
| Wk 3 | 29% | 38% | 47% |
| Wk 4 | 32% | 41% | 51% |
| Wk 5 | 37% | 46% | 56% |
| Wk 6 | 44% | 54% | 63% |
| Wk 7 | 35% | 44% | 53% |
| Wk 13 | 41% | 51% | 60% |
| Wk 14 | 45% | 54% | 64% |
| Wk 15 | 47% | 57% | 66% |
| Wk 17 | 48% | 58% | 67% |
| Wk 18 | 53% | 62% | 71% |
| Wk 19 | 53% | 62% | 71% |
| Wk 20 | 53% | 62% | 71% |
| Wk 21 | 53% | 62% | 71% |
| Wk 22 | 53% | 62% | 71% |
| Wk 23 | 53% | 62% | 71% |
| Wk 24 | 53% | 62% | 71% |
Augustana IL
Elmhurst
|
0-2 (0%) |
Head to Head |
2-0 (100%) |
|
10-15 (40%) |
Overall |
19-9 (67.9%) |
|
5-7 (41.7%) |
Home |
12-2 (85.7%) |
|
3-8 (27.3%) |
Away |
6-7 (46.2%) |
|
1-2 (33.3%) |
Versus D3 Top 25 |
1-3 (25%) |
|
6-13 (31.6%) |
Versus > .500 Teams |
9-8 (52.9%) |
|
4-2 (66.7%) |
Versus < .500 Teams |
10-1 (90.9%) |
|
2-8 (20%) |
Last 10 Games |
7-3 (70%) |
Augustana IL
Elmhurst
| #259 WI LaCrosse | Best Win | #163 IL Wesleyan |
| #710 N Central IL | Worst Loss | #595 Carroll WI |
| 34 pts vs #853 Bethel MN | Largest MOV | 37 pts vs #926 Greenville |
| 19 pts vs #163 IL Wesleyan | Largest MOD | 31 pts vs #595 Carroll WI |
Augustana IL
Elmhurst
| 76.3 | Points per Game | 77.1 |
| 78.2 | Points Against | 73.8 |
| 78.4 | Home PPG | 82 |
| 81.1 | Home PA | 71.9 |
| 74.6 | Away PPG | 71.4 |
| 77.1 | Away PA | 75.3 |
| 400-273 | Opponent Record | 420-328 |
| 507.2 | Avg Opponent Rank | 548 |
| L 8 | Longest Streak | W 5 |
| L 8 | Current Streak | L 1 |
Augustana IL
Elmhurst
| Feb 21 | vs IL Wesleyan (26-5) | L56-75 | Feb 28 | at IL Wesleyan (26-5) | L59-69 |
| Feb 18 | at N Central IL (8-18) | L76-83 | Feb 27 | Carthage (18-8) | W82-80 |
| Feb 14 | vs Carthage (18-8) | L73-75 | Feb 24 | vs Carroll WI (12-14) | W95-85 |
| Feb 11 | vs North Park (16-11) | L77-79 | Feb 21 | vs North Park (16-11) | L79-81 |
| Feb 7 | at Carroll WI (12-14) | L84-94 | Feb 18 | vs Carroll WI (12-14) | W81-69 |
| Feb 4 | vs Elmhurst (19-9) | L62-81 | Feb 14 | at N Central IL (8-18) | W66-57 |
| Jan 28 | at Wheaton IL (13-13) | L65-71 | Feb 11 | vs Wheaton IL (13-13) | W80-79 |
| Jan 24 | at Carthage (18-8) | L61-75 | Feb 7 | at IL Wesleyan (26-5) | L69-91 |
| Jan 21 | at North Park (16-11) | W92-87 | Feb 4 | at Augustana IL (10-15) | W81-62 |
| Jan 17 | vs Carroll WI (12-14) | W80-73 | Jan 31 | at Millikin (14-11) | W80-72 |
vs
Division III College Basketball