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Division III College Basketball Game Simulator
Simulate Any Matchup
Prediction updated: Tuesday, April 7, 2026
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CREATE YOUR MATCHUP
AL
Alvernia
Home · MAC Commonwealth · 14-11
Tap to change
VS
ST
Stevenson
Away · MAC Commonwealth · 10-14
Tap to change
Advanced Options
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Randomize
Variance
0
Low (0)
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High (2)
Run Simulation
Select Team
ST
Stevenson
MAC Commonwealth
73
39
% win prob
Away
PREDICTED
FINAL SCORE
AL
Alvernia
MAC Commonwealth
78
61
% win prob
Home
POINT SPREAD
Alvernia by 4.69
TOTAL POINTS
151
UPDATED
Tuesday, April 7, 2026
RATINGS
Stevenson
Alvernia
73
Stevenson
Simulated Score
78
Alvernia
76
C
Overall
84
B
83
B-
Power
85
B
76
C
16.013
60
99
Offensive
91
A-
24.181
60
99
Stevenson
60
99
Alvernia
60
99
89
B+
-52.208
60
99
Defensive
75
C
-58.683
60
99
Stevenson
60
99
Alvernia
60
99
78
C+
SoS (Current)
83
B-
78
C+
SoS (Future)
83
B-
RANKINGS
Stevenson
Alvernia
881
Overall
721
829
Power
801
897
Offensive
685
708
Defensive
901
877
SoS (Current)
810
877
SoS (Future)
810
RECORDS
Stevenson
Alvernia
1-1
(50%)
Head to Head
1-1
(50%)
10-14
(41.7%)
Overall
14-11
(56%)
8-5
(61.5%)
Home
6-7
(46.2%)
2-8
(20%)
Away
8-4
(66.7%)
0-2
(0%)
Versus D3 Top 25
0-4
(0%)
2-9
(18.2%)
Versus > .500 Teams
3-10
(23.1%)
8-5
(61.5%)
Versus < .500 Teams
11-1
(91.7%)
2-8
(20%)
Last 10 Games
6-4
(60%)
SUPERLATIVES
Stevenson
Alvernia
#721 Alvernia
Best Win
#484 York PA
#900 Widener
Worst Loss
#881 Stevenson
32 pts vs #1012 Messiah
Largest MOV
41 pts vs #1036 PSU-Berks
27 pts vs #290 Hood
Largest MOD
23 pts vs #774 Notre Dame MD
OTHER STATISTICS
Stevenson
Alvernia
74.5
Points per Game
82.5
72.5
Points Against
80.3
76.1
Home PPG
79.8
69
Home PA
79.6
73.3
Away PPG
85.5
77.2
Away PA
81
308-322
Opponent Record
351-315
767.3
Avg Opponent Rank
731.5
L 6
Longest Streak
W 3
L 2
Current Streak
L 1
RECENT OPPONENTS
Stevenson
Alvernia
Feb 21
vs
Widener (8-18)
L 58-60
Feb 25
at
Hood (26-5)
L 93-109
Feb 18
at
Albright (16-10)
L 76-95
Feb 21
vs
Messiah (4-21)
W 86-75
Feb 14
vs
Messiah (4-21)
W 84-63
Feb 17
at
Eastern Univ (9-16)
W 80-57
Feb 11
vs
York PA (20-7)
L 85-87
Feb 14
at
Widener (8-18)
W 78-75
Feb 7
at
Eastern Univ (9-16)
L 61-64
Feb 11
vs
Hood (26-5)
L 80-81
Feb 4
at
Hood (26-5)
L 79-106
Feb 7
vs
Albright (16-10)
L 75-85
Jan 31
vs
Alvernia (14-11)
W 88-72
Feb 4
at
York PA (20-7)
W 80-77
Jan 29
vs
Albright (16-10)
L 74-75
Jan 31
at
Stevenson (10-14)
L 72-88
Jan 24
at
Widener (8-18)
L 74-83
Jan 28
vs
Eastern Univ (9-16)
W 89-64
Jan 21
at
York PA (20-7)
L 68-78
Jan 24
at
Messiah (4-21)
W 88-70
✕
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