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Division III College Basketball Game Simulator
Simulate Any Matchup
Prediction updated: Tuesday, April 7, 2026
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CREATE YOUR MATCHUP
AL
Alvernia
Home · MAC Commonwealth · 14-11
Tap to change
VS
NO
Notre Dame MD
Away · United East · 16-11
Tap to change
Advanced Options
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Randomize
Variance
0
Low (0)
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High (2)
Run Simulation
Select Team
NO
Notre Dame MD
United East
83
30
% win prob
Away
PREDICTED
FINAL SCORE
AL
Alvernia
MAC Commonwealth
92
70
% win prob
Home
POINT SPREAD
Alvernia by 8.79
TOTAL POINTS
175
UPDATED
Tuesday, April 7, 2026
RATINGS
Notre Dame MD
Alvernia
83
Notre Dame MD
Simulated Score
92
Alvernia
82
B-
Overall
84
B
77
C+
Power
85
B
94
A
25.862
60
99
Offensive
91
A-
24.181
60
99
Notre Dame MD
60
99
Alvernia
60
99
65
D
-66.157
60
99
Defensive
75
C
-58.683
60
99
Notre Dame MD
60
99
Alvernia
60
99
77
C
SoS (Current)
83
B-
77
C
SoS (Future)
83
B-
RANKINGS
Notre Dame MD
Alvernia
774
Overall
721
888
Power
801
619
Offensive
685
1017
Defensive
901
893
SoS (Current)
810
893
SoS (Future)
810
RECORDS
Notre Dame MD
Alvernia
1-0
(100%)
Head to Head
0-1
(0%)
16-11
(59.3%)
Overall
14-11
(56%)
6-1
(85.7%)
Home
6-7
(46.2%)
7-8
(46.7%)
Away
8-4
(66.7%)
0-1
(0%)
Versus D3 Top 25
0-4
(0%)
4-9
(30.8%)
Versus > .500 Teams
3-10
(23.1%)
12-2
(85.7%)
Versus < .500 Teams
11-1
(91.7%)
6-4
(60%)
Last 10 Games
6-4
(60%)
SUPERLATIVES
Notre Dame MD
Alvernia
#446 Gettysburg
Best Win
#484 York PA
#1038 Keystone
Worst Loss
#881 Stevenson
28 pts vs #1052 Rosemont
Largest MOV
41 pts vs #1036 PSU-Berks
50 pts vs #240 UMBC
Largest MOD
23 pts vs #774 Notre Dame MD
OTHER STATISTICS
Notre Dame MD
Alvernia
82.6
Points per Game
82.5
84.9
Points Against
80.3
85.6
Home PPG
79.8
75.9
Home PA
79.6
81.5
Away PPG
85.5
89.5
Away PA
81
333-381
Opponent Record
351-315
779
Avg Opponent Rank
731.5
W 4
Longest Streak
W 3
L 2
Current Streak
L 1
RECENT OPPONENTS
Notre Dame MD
Alvernia
Feb 21
at
PSU-Harrisburg (18-11)
L 70-85
Feb 25
at
Hood (26-5)
L 93-109
Feb 10
at
Lancaster Bib (20-8)
L 93-99
Feb 21
vs
Messiah (4-21)
W 86-75
Feb 7
vs
PSU-Berks (6-17)
W 95-69
Feb 17
at
Eastern Univ (9-16)
W 80-57
Feb 4
vs
St Mary's MD (10-16)
W 76-75
Feb 14
at
Widener (8-18)
W 78-75
Jan 31
at
PSU-Abington (6-22)
W 83-75
Feb 11
vs
Hood (26-5)
L 80-81
Jan 28
vs
Cairn (19-7)
W 86-76
Feb 7
vs
Albright (16-10)
L 75-85
Jan 24
at
Keystone (7-18)
L 86-98
Feb 4
at
York PA (20-7)
W 80-77
Jan 21
vs
Wilson (10-18)
W 99-97
Jan 31
at
Stevenson (10-14)
L 72-88
Jan 17
vs
PSU-Brandywine (16-9)
W 86-74
Jan 28
vs
Eastern Univ (9-16)
W 89-64
Jan 13
vs
PSU-Harrisburg (18-11)
L 65-70
Jan 24
at
Messiah (4-21)
W 88-70
✕
vs
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