Fine-tune team strengths to model injuries, form, or what-if scenarios
Each run draws new ratings around the real ones. Higher variance means bigger swings.
Wk 24 (Apr 7), 2025-26: Oberlin 72%, Allegheny 28% at Allegheny.
Oberlin's win probability against Allegheny has held at 72% over the last 6 weeks — this matchup has settled.
Oberlin's win probability against Allegheny has held at 80% over the last 6 weeks — this matchup has settled.
Oberlin's win probability against Allegheny has held at 86% over the last 6 weeks — this matchup has settled.