Fine-tune team strengths to model injuries, form, or what-if scenarios
Each run draws new ratings around the real ones. Higher variance means bigger swings.
Allegheny
Chatham
|
75
C
|
Overall |
88
B+
|
|
74
C
|
Power |
84
B
|
|
68
D+
6099
|
Offensive |
84
B
6099
|
|
Allegheny
6099
Chatham
6099
|
||
|
84
B
6099
|
Defensive |
83
B-
6099
|
|
Allegheny
6099
Chatham
6099
|
||
|
78
C+
|
SoS (Current) |
76
C
|
|
78
C+
|
SoS (Future) |
76
C
|
Allegheny
Chatham
| 251 #896 overall |
Overall | 121 #660 overall |
| 263 #925 overall |
Power | 158 #816 overall |
| 324 #986 overall |
Offensive | 160 #803 overall |
| 160 #794 overall |
Defensive | 167 #803 overall |
| 216 #875 overall |
SoS (Current) | 242 #905 overall |
| 216 #875 overall |
SoS (Future) | 242 #905 overall |
Wk 24 (Apr 7), 2025-26: Chatham 65%, Allegheny 35% at Allegheny.
Chatham's win probability against Allegheny has held at 65% over the last 6 weeks — this matchup has settled.
Chatham's win probability against Allegheny has held at 74% over the last 6 weeks — this matchup has settled.
Chatham's win probability against Allegheny has held at 81% over the last 6 weeks — this matchup has settled.
| Week | At Allegheny | Neutral | At Chatham |
|---|---|---|---|
| Pre | 76% | 83% | 88% |
| Wk 1 | 86% | 90% | 93% |
| Wk 2 | 41% | 50% | 60% |
| Wk 3 | 50% | 59% | 68% |
| Wk 4 | 54% | 64% | 72% |
| Wk 5 | 52% | 62% | 70% |
| Wk 6 | 53% | 62% | 71% |
| Wk 7 | 49% | 59% | 68% |
| Wk 13 | 66% | 74% | 81% |
| Wk 14 | 66% | 74% | 81% |
| Wk 15 | 59% | 68% | 76% |
| Wk 17 | 62% | 71% | 78% |
| Wk 18 | 65% | 74% | 81% |
| Wk 19 | 65% | 73% | 81% |
| Wk 20 | 65% | 73% | 81% |
| Wk 21 | 65% | 74% | 81% |
| Wk 22 | 65% | 74% | 81% |
| Wk 23 | 66% | 74% | 81% |
| Wk 24 | 65% | 74% | 81% |
Allegheny
Chatham
|
1-0 (100%) |
Head to Head |
0-1 (0%) |
|
10-17 (37%) |
Overall |
17-8 (68%) |
|
6-7 (46.2%) |
Home |
11-1 (91.7%) |
|
4-9 (30.8%) |
Away |
5-7 (41.7%) |
|
0-1 (0%) |
Versus D3 Top 25 |
0-1 (0%) |
|
3-10 (23.1%) |
Versus > .500 Teams |
6-5 (54.5%) |
|
7-7 (50%) |
Versus < .500 Teams |
11-3 (78.6%) |
|
4-6 (40%) |
Last 10 Games |
6-4 (60%) |
Allegheny
Chatham
| #597 Carnegie Mellon | Best Win | #492 Wash & Jeff |
| #1000 Hiram | Worst Loss | #924 PSU-Altoona |
| 25 pts vs #1042 Carlow | Largest MOV | 25 pts vs #967 Waynesburg |
| 41 pts vs #549 Canisius | Largest MOD | 21 pts vs #661 Franciscan OH |
Allegheny
Chatham
| 66.6 | Points per Game | 78.7 |
| 72.4 | Points Against | 74.6 |
| 64.5 | Home PPG | 81.7 |
| 67.8 | Home PA | 70.6 |
| 69.2 | Away PPG | 73.2 |
| 77.5 | Away PA | 77.6 |
| 346-364 | Opponent Record | 312-345 |
| 766.7 | Avg Opponent Rank | 789.3 |
| L 3 | Longest Streak | W 8 |
| L 2 | Current Streak | L 1 |
Allegheny
Chatham
| Feb 24 | vs Franciscan OH (19-9) | L62-66 | Feb 26 | at Westminster PA (17-9) | L79-81 |
| Feb 21 | at Hiram (6-20) | L69-88 | Feb 24 | vs Grove City (11-14) | W69-60 |
| Feb 18 | vs Thiel (3-19) | W68-60 | Feb 21 | vs St Vincent (15-10) | W83-74 |
| Feb 14 | vs Franciscan OH (19-9) | L66-81 | Feb 18 | at Waynesburg (6-20) | W85-69 |
| Feb 11 | at Grove City (11-14) | L65-77 | Feb 14 | vs Geneva (10-17) | W89-71 |
| Feb 7 | vs Chatham (17-8) | W69-66 | Feb 11 | at Franciscan OH (19-9) | L56-77 |
| Feb 4 | at Westminster PA (17-9) | W75-68 | Feb 7 | at Allegheny (10-17) | L66-69 |
| Jan 31 | at Bethany WV (9-17) | L73-85 | Feb 4 | vs Bethany WV (9-17) | W87-73 |
| Jan 28 | vs Geneva (10-17) | W79-70 | Jan 31 | at Westminster PA (17-9) | L66-86 |
| Jan 24 | at Wash & Jeff (23-7) | L72-85 | Jan 28 | vs Wash & Jeff (23-7) | W84-72 |
vs
Division III College Basketball