Fine-tune team strengths to model injuries, form, or what-if scenarios
Each run draws new ratings around the real ones. Higher variance means bigger swings.
Penn Col Tech
Alfred
|
61
D-
|
Overall |
61
D-
|
|
62
D-
|
Power |
66
D
|
|
68
D+
6099
|
Offensive |
62
D-
6099
|
|
Penn Col Tech
6099
Alfred
6099
|
||
|
62
D-
6099
|
Defensive |
80
B-
6099
|
|
Penn Col Tech
6099
Alfred
6099
|
||
|
64
D
|
SoS (Current) |
62
D-
|
|
64
D
|
SoS (Future) |
62
D-
|
Penn Col Tech
Alfred
| 398 #1061 overall |
Overall | 393 #1056 overall |
| 387 #1050 overall |
Power | 343 #1006 overall |
| 326 #988 overall |
Offensive | 390 #1052 overall |
| 387 #1050 overall |
Defensive | 198 #840 overall |
| 363 #1026 overall |
SoS (Current) | 382 #1045 overall |
| 363 #1026 overall |
SoS (Future) | 382 #1045 overall |
Wk 24 (Apr 7), 2025-26: Alfred 80%, Penn Col Tech 20% at Alfred.
Alfred's win probability against Penn Col Tech has held at 64% over the last 6 weeks — this matchup has settled.
Alfred's win probability against Penn Col Tech has held at 73% over the last 6 weeks — this matchup has settled.
Alfred's win probability against Penn Col Tech has held at 80% over the last 6 weeks — this matchup has settled.
| Week | At Penn Col Tech | Neutral | At Alfred |
|---|---|---|---|
| Pre | 69% | 77% | 84% |
| Wk 1 | 82% | 87% | 92% |
| Wk 2 | 93% | 95% | 97% |
| Wk 3 | 89% | 93% | 95% |
| Wk 4 | 86% | 91% | 94% |
| Wk 5 | 75% | 82% | 87% |
| Wk 6 | 77% | 83% | 88% |
| Wk 7 | 77% | 84% | 89% |
| Wk 13 | 63% | 71% | 79% |
| Wk 14 | 62% | 71% | 79% |
| Wk 15 | 64% | 73% | 80% |
| Wk 17 | 64% | 73% | 80% |
| Wk 18 | 64% | 72% | 80% |
| Wk 19 | 64% | 73% | 80% |
| Wk 20 | 64% | 73% | 80% |
| Wk 21 | 64% | 73% | 80% |
| Wk 22 | 64% | 73% | 80% |
| Wk 23 | 64% | 73% | 80% |
| Wk 24 | 64% | 73% | 80% |
Penn Col Tech
Alfred
|
0-1 (0%) |
Head to Head |
1-0 (100%) |
|
3-19 (13.6%) |
Overall |
4-21 (16%) |
|
2-9 (18.2%) |
Home |
2-8 (20%) |
|
1-9 (10%) |
Away |
0-12 (0%) |
|
0-1 (0%) |
Versus D3 Top 25 |
0-0 (0%) |
|
0-8 (0%) |
Versus > .500 Teams |
0-13 (0%) |
|
3-11 (21.4%) |
Versus < .500 Teams |
4-8 (33.3%) |
|
2-8 (20%) |
Last 10 Games |
1-9 (10%) |
Penn Col Tech
Alfred
| #982 St Mary's MD | Best Win | #997 MA Col Lib Arts |
| #1059 Gallaudet | Worst Loss | #1041 Houghton |
| 20 pts vs #982 St Mary's MD | Largest MOV | 24 pts vs #1049 Alfred St |
| 55 pts vs #292 Wesleyan CT | Largest MOD | 34 pts vs #759 Nazareth |
Penn Col Tech
Alfred
| 72 | Points per Game | 65.9 |
| 85.7 | Points Against | 71.6 |
| 74.3 | Home PPG | 68 |
| 82.4 | Home PA | 73.7 |
| 72.2 | Away PPG | 63.5 |
| 88.1 | Away PA | 73.3 |
| 242-319 | Opponent Record | 312-330 |
| 893.8 | Avg Opponent Rank | 906.2 |
| L 11 | Longest Streak | L 15 |
| L 5 | Current Streak | W 1 |
Penn Col Tech
Alfred
| Feb 14 | at Gallaudet (3-17) | L70-73 | Feb 17 | vs Houghton (6-20) | W78-74 |
| Feb 10 | vs Rosemont (4-18) | L80-85 | Feb 14 | vs Hartwick (10-15) | L72-74 |
| Feb 7 | vs Cairn (19-7) | L80-89 | Feb 13 | vs Russell Sage (20-5) | L80-95 |
| Feb 4 | vs Valley Forge (5-13) | L77-89 | Feb 7 | at SUNY Poly (18-8) | L71-83 |
| Jan 31 | at PSU-Brandywine (16-9) | L58-84 | Feb 6 | at Utica (17-9) | L76-84 |
| Jan 23 | vs St Mary's MD (10-16) | W77-57 | Jan 31 | at Keuka (14-14) | L62-73 |
| Jan 21 | at Lancaster Bib (20-8) | L63-117 | Jan 30 | at Elmira (6-18) | L62-64 |
| Jan 17 | vs PSU-Harrisburg (18-11) | L58-72 | Jan 27 | at Houghton (6-20) | L94-97 |
| Jan 13 | at PSU-Berks (6-17) | L101-105 | Jan 24 | vs Brockport St (16-12) | L70-75 |
| Jan 10 | vs Wilson (10-18) | W96-93 | Jan 23 | vs Geneseo St (16-11) | L67-68 |
vs
Division III College Basketball