UC Merced at Wm Jessup Game Prediction
PREDICTED
FINAL SCORE
POINT SPREAD
Wm Jessup by 7.77
TOTAL POINTS
150
UPDATED
Tuesday, October 27, 2026
See this week's CBB D2 predictions
PRESEASON RATINGS
UC Merced
Wm Jessup 
|
74
C
|
Overall |
80
B-
|
|
72
C-
|
Power |
83
B-
|
|
66
D
|
Offensive |
88
B+
|
|
84
B
|
Defensive |
76
C
|
|
81
B-
|
SoS (Current) |
80
B-
|
|
81
B-
|
SoS (Full Season) |
80
B-
|
PRESEASON RANKINGS
UC Merced
Wm Jessup
| 193 #648 overall |
Overall | 147 #547 overall |
| 203 #574 overall |
Power | 119 #485 overall |
| 247 #658 overall |
Offensive | 81 #426 overall |
| 115 #483 overall |
Defensive | 172 #560 overall |
| 133 #498 overall |
SoS (Current) | 146 #511 overall |
| 133 #498 overall |
SoS (Full Season) | 146 #511 overall |
Wm Jessup#14772%UC Merced#19328%Pre (Oct 27), 2026-27: Wm Jessup 72%, UC Merced 28% at Wm Jessup.
Wm Jessup's win probability against UC Merced is trending down — from 59% to 55% over the last 6 updates.
Wm Jessup's win probability against UC Merced is trending down — from 68% to 64% over the last 6 updates.
Wm Jessup's win probability against UC Merced is trending down — from 75% to 72% over the last 6 updates.
Wm Jessup favored
UC Merced favored
Even, 50%
Drag across the chart
Week-by-week table
| Week | Season | At UC Merced | Neutral | At Wm Jessup |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wk 17 | 2025-26 | 59% | 68% | 75% |
| Wk 18 | 2025-26 | 59% | 67% | 75% |
| Wk 19 | 2025-26 | 59% | 68% | 75% |
| Wk 20 | 2025-26 | 59% | 68% | 75% |
| Wk 21 | 2025-26 | 59% | 67% | 75% |
| Wk 22 | 2025-26 | 59% | 68% | 75% |
| Wk 23 | 2025-26 | 59% | 67% | 75% |
| Wk 24 | 2025-26 | 59% | 67% | 75% |
| Pre | 2026-27 | 55% | 64% | 72% |
2025-2026 RECORDS
UC Merced
Wm Jessup
|
0-0 (0%) |
Head to Head |
0-0 (0%) |
|
9-17 (34.6%) |
Overall |
13-14 (48.1%) |
|
6-6 (50%) |
Home |
5-8 (38.5%) |
|
3-11 (21.4%) |
Away |
7-6 (53.8%) |
|
0-2 (0%) |
Versus D2 Top 25 |
0-3 (0%) |
|
2-11 (15.4%) |
Versus > .500 Teams |
4-11 (26.7%) |
|
7-6 (53.8%) |
Versus < .500 Teams |
9-3 (75%) |
|
4-6 (40%) |
Last 10 Games |
6-4 (60%) |
2025-2026 SUPERLATIVES
UC Merced
Wm Jessup
| #444 Humboldt St | Best Win | #398 Hawaii Pacific |
| #869 S Francisco St | Worst Loss | #830 Hawaii Hilo |
| 20 pts vs #444 Humboldt St | Largest MOV | 16 pts vs #398 Hawaii Pacific |
| 54 pts vs #31 St Mary's CA | Largest MOD | 12 pts vs #531 Dominican CA |
OTHER 2025-2026 STATISTICS
UC Merced
Wm Jessup
| 68.3 | Points per Game | 78 |
| 73.4 | Points Against | 77.5 |
| 72.3 | Home PPG | 77.6 |
| 70.2 | Home PA | 77.3 |
| 64.9 | Away PPG | 78.3 |
| 76.1 | Away PA | 78.5 |
| 402-360 | Opponent Record | 386-406 |
| 506.2 | Avg Opponent Rank | 544.7 |
| L 7 | Longest Streak | L 5 |
| L 3 | Current Streak | W 1 |
RECENT OPPONENTS
UC Merced
Wm Jessup
| Feb 28 | at CSU East Bay (33-1) | L51-58 | Feb 28 | vs Chaminade (13-15) | W93-80 |
| Feb 26 | at S Francisco St (4-26) | L69-74 | Feb 24 | vs Vanguard (15-13) | L71-75 |
| Feb 21 | vs CS Dom. Hills (22-9) | L75-78 | Feb 17 | at Hawaii Pacific (19-13) | W85-77 |
| Feb 19 | vs Cal St-LA (9-19) | W86-69 | Feb 14 | at Chaminade (13-15) | L82-91 |
| Feb 14 | at CS Poly Pomona (17-12) | L53-72 | Feb 12 | at Hawaii Hilo (5-24) | W77-67 |
| Feb 12 | at CS San Bern. (14-15) | L65-81 | Feb 7 | vs Azusa Pacific (6-20) | W81-79 |
| Feb 7 | vs CS Chico (7-18) | W86-76 | Feb 5 | vs Fresno Pacific (14-16) | W81-73 |
| Feb 5 | vs Humboldt St (17-16) | W83-63 | Feb 2 | at Westmont (18-12) | W96-95 |
| Jan 31 | at CS San Marcos (13-14) | W80-66 | Jan 31 | at Biola (13-13) | L72-74 |
| Jan 29 | at CS Monterey Bay (17-12) | L83-89 | Jan 29 | at Concordia CA (16-14) | L63-73 |