Fine-tune team strengths to model injuries, form, or what-if scenarios
Each run draws new ratings around the real ones. Higher variance means bigger swings.
Western St CO
Ft Lewis
|
69
D+
|
Overall |
89
B+
|
|
65
D
|
Power |
84
B
|
|
72
C-
6099
|
Offensive |
91
A-
6099
|
|
Western St CO
6099
Ft Lewis
6099
|
||
|
66
D
6099
|
Defensive |
73
C-
6099
|
|
Western St CO
6099
Ft Lewis
6099
|
||
|
68
D+
|
SoS (Current) |
83
B-
|
|
68
D+
|
SoS (Future) |
83
B-
|
Western St CO
Ft Lewis
| 225 #757 overall |
Overall | 77 #378 overall |
| 258 #674 overall |
Power | 114 #474 overall |
| 205 #610 overall |
Offensive | 61 #354 overall |
| 252 #732 overall |
Defensive | 196 #615 overall |
| 235 #652 overall |
SoS (Current) | 123 #495 overall |
| 235 #652 overall |
SoS (Future) | 123 #495 overall |
Wk 24 (Apr 7), 2025-26: Ft Lewis 77%, Western St CO 23% at Western St CO.
Ft Lewis' win probability against Western St CO has held at 77% over the last 6 weeks — this matchup has settled.
Ft Lewis' win probability against Western St CO has held at 83% over the last 6 weeks — this matchup has settled.
Ft Lewis' win probability against Western St CO has held at 88% over the last 6 weeks — this matchup has settled.
| Week | At Western St CO | Neutral | At Ft Lewis |
|---|---|---|---|
| Pre | 76% | 83% | 88% |
| Wk 1 | 79% | 85% | 90% |
| Wk 2 | 86% | 91% | 94% |
| Wk 3 | 82% | 88% | 92% |
| Wk 4 | 78% | 85% | 89% |
| Wk 5 | 68% | 76% | 83% |
| Wk 6 | 65% | 73% | 80% |
| Wk 7 | 67% | 76% | 82% |
| Wk 13 | 85% | 90% | 93% |
| Wk 14 | 86% | 91% | 94% |
| Wk 15 | 84% | 89% | 93% |
| Wk 17 | 77% | 83% | 88% |
| Wk 18 | 75% | 82% | 87% |
| Wk 19 | 76% | 83% | 88% |
| Wk 20 | 77% | 83% | 88% |
| Wk 21 | 77% | 83% | 88% |
| Wk 22 | 77% | 83% | 88% |
| Wk 23 | 76% | 83% | 88% |
| Wk 24 | 77% | 83% | 88% |
Western St CO
Ft Lewis
|
1-1 (50%) |
Head to Head |
1-1 (50%) |
|
10-19 (34.5%) |
Overall |
18-11 (62.1%) |
|
4-9 (30.8%) |
Home |
11-2 (84.6%) |
|
5-9 (35.7%) |
Away |
5-7 (41.7%) |
|
0-1 (0%) |
Versus D2 Top 25 |
2-2 (50%) |
|
2-7 (22.2%) |
Versus > .500 Teams |
6-9 (40%) |
|
8-12 (40%) |
Versus < .500 Teams |
12-2 (85.7%) |
|
4-6 (40%) |
Last 10 Games |
4-6 (40%) |
Western St CO
Ft Lewis
| #376 CSU-Pueblo | Best Win | #182 Black Hills St |
| #758 Colorado Col | Worst Loss | #757 Western St CO |
| 26 pts vs #933 Regis CO | Largest MOV | 29 pts vs #750 Metro St |
| 53 pts vs #637 NM Highlands | Largest MOD | 26 pts vs #242 St Edward's |
Western St CO
Ft Lewis
| 76.2 | Points per Game | 82 |
| 82.1 | Points Against | 79.4 |
| 78.3 | Home PPG | 85.9 |
| 81.3 | Home PA | 75.4 |
| 73.4 | Away PPG | 79.8 |
| 82.5 | Away PA | 83.9 |
| 375-471 | Opponent Record | 477-400 |
| 614.6 | Avg Opponent Rank | 508.5 |
| L 6 | Longest Streak | W 9 |
| W 2 | Current Streak | L 1 |
Western St CO
Ft Lewis
| Feb 28 | at SD Mines (8-19) | W81-63 | Mar 6 | at Black Hills St (29-5) | L75-77 |
| Feb 26 | at Chadron St (7-21) | W80-76 | Mar 3 | vs Adams St (18-12) | W88-72 |
| Feb 21 | at CO Mesa (21-11) | L90-100 | Feb 28 | at Colorado Chr (10-17) | W83-64 |
| Feb 19 | vs Westminster UT (10-18) | L72-87 | Feb 26 | at CSU-Pueblo (20-8) | L61-82 |
| Feb 14 | vs Ft Lewis (18-11) | W85-77 | Feb 21 | vs SD Mines (8-19) | W87-67 |
| Feb 12 | vs Adams St (18-12) | L77-81 | Feb 19 | vs Chadron St (7-21) | W80-65 |
| Feb 7 | at Metro St (10-18) | W75-69 | Feb 14 | at Western St CO (10-19) | L77-85 |
| Feb 5 | at Colorado Mines (15-16) | L67-84 | Feb 12 | at CO Mesa (21-11) | L76-100 |
| Jan 31 | vs Colorado Chr (10-17) | L68-79 | Feb 7 | at NM Highlands (13-22) | L88-93 |
| Jan 29 | vs Col Springs (14-15) | L82-93 | Feb 5 | at Adams St (18-12) | L93-95 |
vs
Division II College Basketball