Fine-tune team strengths to model injuries, form, or what-if scenarios
Each run draws new ratings around the real ones. Higher variance means bigger swings.
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Pre (Oct 27), 2026-27: W New Mexico 57%, Ft Lewis 43% at a neutral site.
W New Mexico's win probability against Ft Lewis is trending down — from 52% to 49% over the last 6 updates.
W New Mexico's win probability against Ft Lewis is trending down — from 60% to 57% over the last 6 updates.
W New Mexico's win probability against Ft Lewis is trending down — from 68% to 65% over the last 6 updates.