TX Lutheran at St Mary's TX Game Prediction
PREDICTED
FINAL SCORE
POINT SPREAD
St Mary's TX by 32.06
TOTAL POINTS
148
UPDATED
Tuesday, October 27, 2026
See this week's CBB D2 predictions
PRESEASON RATINGS
*Ratings are relative to Division (D1, D2, D3)
TX Lutheran
St Mary's TX 
|
78
C+
|
Overall |
94
A
|
|
77
C+
|
Power |
93
A-
|
|
84
B
|
Offensive |
77
C+
|
|
73
C-
|
Defensive |
96
A
|
|
89
B+
|
SoS (Current) |
87
B+
|
|
89
B+
|
SoS (Full Season) |
87
B+
|
PRESEASON RANKINGS
TX LutheranD3
St Mary's TXD2
| 224 #867 overall |
Overall | 36 #298 overall |
| 226 #887 overall |
Power | 49 #408 overall |
| 158 #811 overall |
Offensive | 169 #547 overall |
| 273 #934 overall |
Defensive | 21 #319 overall |
| 107 #749 overall |
SoS (Current) | 92 #457 overall |
| 107 #749 overall |
SoS (Full Season) | 92 #457 overall |
St Mary's TXD2 #3698%TX LutheranD3 #2242%Pre (Oct 27), 2026-27: St Mary's TX 98%, TX Lutheran 2% at St Mary's TX.
St Mary's TX's win probability against TX Lutheran has held at 97% over the last 6 updates — this matchup has settled.
St Mary's TX's win probability against TX Lutheran has held at 98% over the last 6 updates — this matchup has settled.
St Mary's TX's win probability against TX Lutheran has held at 98% over the last 6 updates — this matchup has settled.
St Mary's TX favored
TX Lutheran favored
Even, 50%
Drag across the chart
Week-by-week table
| Week | Season | At TX Lutheran | Neutral | At St Mary's TX |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wk 17 | 2025-26 | 97% | 98% | 99% |
| Wk 18 | 2025-26 | 98% | 98% | 99% |
| Wk 19 | 2025-26 | 98% | 98% | 99% |
| Wk 20 | 2025-26 | 98% | 98% | 99% |
| Wk 21 | 2025-26 | 97% | 98% | 99% |
| Wk 22 | 2025-26 | 97% | 98% | 99% |
| Wk 23 | 2025-26 | 97% | 98% | 99% |
| Wk 24 | 2025-26 | 97% | 98% | 99% |
| Pre | 2026-27 | 97% | 98% | 98% |
2025-2026 RECORDS
TX Lutheran
St Mary's TX
|
0-0 (0%) |
Head to Head |
0-0 (0%) |
|
10-17 (37%) |
Overall |
22-10 (68.8%) |
|
7-6 (53.8%) |
Home |
14-2 (87.5%) |
|
2-11 (15.4%) |
Away |
5-5 (50%) |
|
0-2 (0%) |
Versus Own Division Top 25 |
3-4 (42.9%) |
|
4-8 (33.3%) |
Versus > .500 Teams |
7-9 (43.8%) |
|
6-9 (40%) |
Versus < .500 Teams |
15-1 (93.8%) |
|
2-8 (20%) |
Last 10 Games |
7-3 (70%) |
2025-2026 SUPERLATIVES
TX Lutheran
St Mary's TX
| #551 Hardin-Simmons | Best Win | #136 Dallas Bap |
| #897 Austin Col | Worst Loss | #568 TX A&M K'ville |
| 22 pts vs #1053 Hendrix | Largest MOV | 41 pts vs #768 Sul Ross |
| 62 pts vs #451 Incarnate Word | Largest MOD | 18 pts vs #182 Black Hills St |
OTHER 2025-2026 STATISTICS
TX Lutheran
St Mary's TX
| 76.7 | Points per Game | 73.4 |
| 83.2 | Points Against | 67.1 |
| 81.2 | Home PPG | 74.5 |
| 78.6 | Home PA | 62.7 |
| 71.8 | Away PPG | 72.6 |
| 88.5 | Away PA | 69.1 |
| 362-363 | Opponent Record | 506-442 |
| 692.2 | Avg Opponent Rank | 476 |
| L 6 | Longest Streak | W 7 |
| L 1 | Current Streak | L 1 |
RECENT OPPONENTS
TX Lutheran
St Mary's TX
| Feb 22 | at McMurry (8-17) | L85-101 | Mar 15 | Black Hills St (29-5) | L60-78 |
| Feb 20 | at Schreiner (11-15) | W86-81 | Mar 14 | E New Mexico (25-6) | W73-70 |
| Feb 15 | at Colorado Col (12-16) | L56-75 | Mar 7 | Dallas Bap (29-7) | L64-82 |
| Feb 13 | at St Thomas TX (28-3) | L63-77 | Mar 5 | W New Mexico (22-9) | W94-80 |
| Feb 8 | vs Dallas Univ (10-17) | W63-61 | Feb 28 | at Cameron (7-22) | W81-61 |
| Feb 7 | vs Austin Col (10-16) | L71-80 | Feb 26 | vs St Edward's (23-9) | W92-83 |
| Feb 3 | at Centenary (11-16) | L64-67 | Feb 21 | at W New Mexico (22-9) | L76-85 |
| Jan 31 | vs Colorado Col (12-16) | L84-92 | Feb 19 | at Sul Ross (5-21) | W80-73 |
| Jan 30 | vs St Thomas TX (28-3) | L69-71 | Feb 14 | vs Angelo St (16-15) | W47-43 |
| Jan 23 | at Le Tourneau (17-10) | L67-95 | Feb 12 | vs Permian Basin (10-19) | W82-56 |