Fine-tune team strengths to model injuries, form, or what-if scenarios
Each run draws new ratings around the real ones. Higher variance means bigger swings.
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Pre (Oct 27), 2026-27: St Mary's TX 71%, Ft Lewis 29% at St Mary's TX.
St Mary's TX's win probability against Ft Lewis is trending down — from 59% to 54% over the last 6 updates.
St Mary's TX's win probability against Ft Lewis is trending down — from 68% to 63% over the last 6 updates.
St Mary's TX's win probability against Ft Lewis is trending down — from 75% to 71% over the last 6 updates.