Fine-tune team strengths to model injuries, form, or what-if scenarios
Each run draws new ratings around the real ones. Higher variance means bigger swings.
Wk 24 (Apr 7), 2025-26: Shaw NC 61%, Ferrum 39% at a neutral site.
Shaw NC's win probability against Ferrum has held at 51% over the last 6 weeks — this matchup has settled.
Shaw NC's win probability against Ferrum has held at 61% over the last 6 weeks — this matchup has settled.
Shaw NC's win probability against Ferrum has held at 69% over the last 6 weeks — this matchup has settled.