Fine-tune team strengths to model injuries, form, or what-if scenarios
Each run draws new ratings around the real ones. Higher variance means bigger swings.
N Central MN
SW Minnesota
|
75
C
|
Overall |
84
B
|
|
74
C
|
Power |
91
A-
|
|
86
B
6099
|
Offensive |
71
C-
6099
|
|
N Central MN
6099
SW Minnesota
6099
|
||
|
68
D+
6099
|
Defensive |
97
A+
6099
|
|
N Central MN
6099
SW Minnesota
6099
|
||
|
73
C-
|
SoS (Current) |
75
C
|
|
73
C-
|
SoS (Future) |
75
C
|
N Central MND3
SW MinnesotaD2
| 247 #891 overall |
Overall | 117 #482 overall |
| 257 #919 overall |
Power | 60 #407 overall |
| 134 #765 overall |
Offensive | 213 #623 overall |
| 324 #986 overall |
Defensive | 15 #241 overall |
| 269 #932 overall |
SoS (Current) | 185 #566 overall |
| 269 #932 overall |
SoS (Future) | 185 #566 overall |
Wk 24 (Apr 7), 2025-26: SW Minnesota 99%, N Central MN 1% at SW Minnesota.
SW Minnesota's win probability against N Central MN has held at 98% over the last 6 weeks — this matchup has settled.
SW Minnesota's win probability against N Central MN has held at 98% over the last 6 weeks — this matchup has settled.
SW Minnesota's win probability against N Central MN has held at 99% over the last 6 weeks — this matchup has settled.
| Week | At N Central MN | Neutral | At SW Minnesota |
|---|---|---|---|
| Pre | 95% | 97% | 98% |
| Wk 1 | 97% | 98% | 98% |
| Wk 2 | 95% | 97% | 98% |
| Wk 3 | 96% | 97% | 98% |
| Wk 4 | 97% | 98% | 98% |
| Wk 5 | 97% | 98% | 99% |
| Wk 6 | 98% | 99% | 99% |
| Wk 7 | 99% | 99% | 99% |
| Wk 13 | 99% | 99% | 99% |
| Wk 14 | 99% | 99% | 99% |
| Wk 15 | 99% | 99% | 99% |
| Wk 17 | 98% | 99% | 99% |
| Wk 18 | 98% | 99% | 99% |
| Wk 19 | 98% | 99% | 99% |
| Wk 20 | 98% | 98% | 99% |
| Wk 21 | 98% | 98% | 99% |
| Wk 22 | 98% | 99% | 99% |
| Wk 23 | 98% | 98% | 99% |
| Wk 24 | 98% | 98% | 99% |
N Central MN
SW Minnesota
|
0-1 (0%) |
Head to Head |
1-0 (100%) |
|
13-17 (43.3%) |
Overall |
16-12 (57.1%) |
|
7-5 (58.3%) |
Home |
10-2 (83.3%) |
|
4-9 (30.8%) |
Away |
5-7 (41.7%) |
|
0-1 (0%) |
Versus Own Division Top 25 |
0-0 (0%) |
|
1-12 (7.7%) |
Versus > .500 Teams |
5-6 (45.5%) |
|
12-5 (70.6%) |
Versus < .500 Teams |
11-6 (64.7%) |
|
9-1 (90%) |
Last 10 Games |
3-7 (30%) |
N Central MN
SW Minnesota
| #856 Bethany Luth | Best Win | #233 St Cloud |
| #968 Crown MN | Worst Loss | #650 Northern St SD |
| 25 pts vs #968 Crown MN | Largest MOV | 44 pts vs #872 MN Crookston |
| 46 pts vs #176 St Thomas MN | Largest MOD | 30 pts vs #585 Wayne St NE |
N Central MN
SW Minnesota
| 78.5 | Points per Game | 72.9 |
| 82.8 | Points Against | 67.7 |
| 85.3 | Home PPG | 78.5 |
| 83.2 | Home PA | 64.9 |
| 75.8 | Away PPG | 68 |
| 82.5 | Away PA | 68 |
| 355-431 | Opponent Record | 413-401 |
| 808.9 | Avg Opponent Rank | 546.4 |
| L 9 | Longest Streak | W 6 |
| W 2 | Current Streak | L 2 |
N Central MN
SW Minnesota
| Mar 14 | vs Crown MN (10-16) | W76-51 | Mar 1 | MN Mankato (20-12) | L72-79 |
| Mar 4 | Crown MN (10-16) | W76-70 | Feb 21 | at Wayne St NE (13-14) | L42-72 |
| Feb 25 | vs Bethany Luth (15-12) | L78-92 | Feb 19 | vs Augustana SD (18-10) | W86-67 |
| Feb 21 | vs Bethany Luth (15-12) | W102-96 | Feb 14 | vs Concordia SP (19-10) | L69-78 |
| Feb 19 | at Martin Luther (10-14) | W105-87 | Feb 12 | vs Winona St (9-19) | W79-71 |
| Feb 14 | at Northwestern MN (6-19) | W92-75 | Feb 7 | at MN Mankato (20-12) | L71-74 |
| Feb 11 | vs MN Morris (10-14) | W89-78 | Feb 5 | at St Cloud (26-7) | L47-49 |
| Feb 7 | vs Crown MN (10-16) | W86-83 | Jan 31 | at Northern St SD (12-18) | L63-70 |
| Jan 31 | at WI Superior (6-19) | W77-62 | Jan 30 | at Jamestown (13-14) | L71-74 |
| Jan 28 | vs Martin Luther (10-14) | W86-83 | Jan 24 | vs MN Crookston (5-23) | W90-46 |
Division II College Basketball