Fine-tune team strengths to model injuries, form, or what-if scenarios
Each run draws new ratings around the real ones. Higher variance means bigger swings.
W Salem St
Fayetteville St
|
61
D-
|
Overall |
92
A-
|
|
62
D-
|
Power |
84
B
|
|
61
D-
6099
|
Offensive |
98
A+
6099
|
|
W Salem St
6099
Fayetteville St
6099
|
||
|
71
C-
6099
|
Defensive |
62
D-
6099
|
|
W Salem St
6099
Fayetteville St
6099
|
||
|
66
D
|
SoS (Current) |
68
D+
|
|
66
D
|
SoS (Future) |
68
D+
|
W Salem St
Fayetteville St
| 289 #938 overall |
Overall | 53 #315 overall |
| 280 #753 overall |
Power | 111 #471 overall |
| 284 #841 overall |
Offensive | 7 #130 overall |
| 215 #653 overall |
Defensive | 281 #869 overall |
| 250 #690 overall |
SoS (Current) | 236 #654 overall |
| 250 #690 overall |
SoS (Future) | 236 #654 overall |
Wk 24 (Apr 7), 2025-26: Fayetteville St 94%, W Salem St 6% at Fayetteville St.
Fayetteville St's win probability against W Salem St has held at 86% over the last 6 weeks — this matchup has settled.
Fayetteville St's win probability against W Salem St has held at 90% over the last 6 weeks — this matchup has settled.
Fayetteville St's win probability against W Salem St has held at 94% over the last 6 weeks — this matchup has settled.
| Week | At W Salem St | Neutral | At Fayetteville St |
|---|---|---|---|
| Pre | 88% | 92% | 95% |
| Wk 1 | 88% | 92% | 95% |
| Wk 2 | 90% | 94% | 96% |
| Wk 3 | 89% | 92% | 95% |
| Wk 4 | 94% | 96% | 97% |
| Wk 5 | 92% | 95% | 97% |
| Wk 6 | 86% | 91% | 94% |
| Wk 7 | 81% | 86% | 91% |
| Wk 13 | 83% | 88% | 92% |
| Wk 14 | 87% | 91% | 94% |
| Wk 15 | 87% | 91% | 94% |
| Wk 17 | 85% | 90% | 93% |
| Wk 18 | 86% | 91% | 94% |
| Wk 19 | 86% | 90% | 94% |
| Wk 20 | 85% | 90% | 93% |
| Wk 21 | 86% | 90% | 94% |
| Wk 22 | 86% | 90% | 94% |
| Wk 23 | 86% | 90% | 94% |
| Wk 24 | 86% | 90% | 94% |
W Salem St
Fayetteville St
|
0-2 (0%) |
Head to Head |
2-0 (100%) |
|
4-19 (17.4%) |
Overall |
23-7 (76.7%) |
|
2-8 (20%) |
Home |
10-0 (100%) |
|
2-8 (20%) |
Away |
8-4 (66.7%) |
|
0-0 (0%) |
Versus D2 Top 25 |
0-2 (0%) |
|
0-11 (0%) |
Versus > .500 Teams |
8-6 (57.1%) |
|
4-8 (33.3%) |
Versus < .500 Teams |
15-1 (93.8%) |
|
0-10 (0%) |
Last 10 Games |
9-1 (90%) |
W Salem St
Fayetteville St
| #835 Bowie St | Best Win | #317 Virginia Union |
| #852 Livingstone | Worst Loss | #645 Bluefield St |
| 11 pts vs #835 Bowie St | Largest MOV | 28 pts vs #835 Bowie St |
| 33 pts vs #372 E Stroudsburg | Largest MOD | 13 pts vs #162 California PA |
W Salem St
Fayetteville St
| 67.8 | Points per Game | 89.2 |
| 77.1 | Points Against | 83.3 |
| 69 | Home PPG | 94.7 |
| 75.1 | Home PA | 83.9 |
| 69.1 | Away PPG | 87.7 |
| 78.9 | Away PA | 82.7 |
| 325-321 | Opponent Record | 425-422 |
| 637.6 | Avg Opponent Rank | 615.4 |
| L 13 | Longest Streak | W 17 |
| L 13 | Current Streak | L 1 |
W Salem St
Fayetteville St
| Feb 25 | Bluefield St (16-17) | L55-65 | Mar 14 | California PA (23-9) | L83-96 |
| Feb 21 | at Livingstone (9-17) | L76-79 | Feb 28 | Bluefield St (16-17) | W71-68 |
| Feb 18 | at JC Smith (10-16) | L63-71 | Feb 27 | JC Smith (10-16) | W90-68 |
| Feb 14 | vs Shaw NC (14-11) | L52-73 | Feb 25 | Bowie St (7-22) | W86-83 |
| Feb 12 | vs Claflin (14-11) | L69-70 | Feb 21 | at Shaw NC (14-11) | W101-89 |
| Feb 10 | vs Livingstone (9-17) | L82-85 | Feb 18 | at Claflin (14-11) | W91-78 |
| Feb 7 | vs Fayetteville St (23-7) | L74-84 | Feb 14 | vs JC Smith (10-16) | W91-80 |
| Feb 4 | at Virginia Union (22-6) | L49-76 | Feb 12 | vs Livingstone (9-17) | W96-92 |
| Jan 29 | vs JC Smith (10-16) | L64-76 | Feb 9 | vs Shaw NC (14-11) | W89-83 |
| Jan 27 | at Fayetteville St (23-7) | L82-108 | Feb 7 | at W Salem St (4-19) | W84-74 |
vs
Division II College Basketball