Fine-tune team strengths to model injuries, form, or what-if scenarios
Each run draws new ratings around the real ones. Higher variance means bigger swings.
Shaw NC
Fayetteville St
|
74
C
|
Overall |
92
A-
|
|
72
C-
|
Power |
84
B
|
|
85
B
6099
|
Offensive |
98
A+
6099
|
|
Shaw NC
6099
Fayetteville St
6099
|
||
|
67
D+
6099
|
Defensive |
62
D-
6099
|
|
Shaw NC
6099
Fayetteville St
6099
|
||
|
64
D
|
SoS (Current) |
68
D+
|
|
64
D
|
SoS (Future) |
68
D+
|
Shaw NC
Fayetteville St
| 192 #663 overall |
Overall | 53 #315 overall |
| 201 #580 overall |
Power | 111 #471 overall |
| 106 #448 overall |
Offensive | 7 #130 overall |
| 242 #713 overall |
Defensive | 281 #869 overall |
| 265 #741 overall |
SoS (Current) | 236 #654 overall |
| 265 #741 overall |
SoS (Future) | 236 #654 overall |
Wk 24 (Apr 7), 2025-26: Fayetteville St 77%, Shaw NC 23% at Fayetteville St.
Fayetteville St's win probability against Shaw NC has held at 61% over the last 6 weeks — this matchup has settled.
Fayetteville St's win probability against Shaw NC has held at 70% over the last 6 weeks — this matchup has settled.
Fayetteville St's win probability against Shaw NC has held at 77% over the last 6 weeks — this matchup has settled.
| Week | At Shaw NC | Neutral | At Fayetteville St |
|---|---|---|---|
| Pre | 82% | 87% | 91% |
| Wk 1 | 82% | 87% | 91% |
| Wk 2 | 79% | 85% | 90% |
| Wk 3 | 59% | 68% | 76% |
| Wk 4 | 49% | 59% | 68% |
| Wk 5 | 48% | 58% | 67% |
| Wk 6 | 60% | 69% | 77% |
| Wk 7 | 49% | 59% | 68% |
| Wk 13 | 61% | 69% | 77% |
| Wk 14 | 60% | 69% | 77% |
| Wk 15 | 62% | 71% | 78% |
| Wk 17 | 56% | 65% | 73% |
| Wk 18 | 61% | 70% | 78% |
| Wk 19 | 60% | 69% | 77% |
| Wk 20 | 60% | 69% | 77% |
| Wk 21 | 61% | 70% | 77% |
| Wk 22 | 61% | 69% | 77% |
| Wk 23 | 61% | 70% | 77% |
| Wk 24 | 61% | 70% | 77% |
Shaw NC
Fayetteville St
|
0-2 (0%) |
Head to Head |
2-0 (100%) |
|
14-11 (56%) |
Overall |
23-7 (76.7%) |
|
7-4 (63.6%) |
Home |
10-0 (100%) |
|
6-6 (50%) |
Away |
8-4 (66.7%) |
|
0-0 (0%) |
Versus D2 Top 25 |
0-2 (0%) |
|
5-5 (50%) |
Versus > .500 Teams |
8-6 (57.1%) |
|
9-6 (60%) |
Versus < .500 Teams |
15-1 (93.8%) |
|
4-6 (40%) |
Last 10 Games |
9-1 (90%) |
Shaw NC
Fayetteville St
| #456 Virginia St | Best Win | #317 Virginia Union |
| #929 Eliz. City St | Worst Loss | #645 Bluefield St |
| 25 pts vs #972 Paine | Largest MOV | 28 pts vs #835 Bowie St |
| 15 pts vs #645 Bluefield St | Largest MOD | 13 pts vs #162 California PA |
Shaw NC
Fayetteville St
| 79.7 | Points per Game | 89.2 |
| 77.8 | Points Against | 83.3 |
| 81.6 | Home PPG | 94.7 |
| 76.6 | Home PA | 83.9 |
| 79.5 | Away PPG | 87.7 |
| 80.1 | Away PA | 82.7 |
| 314-369 | Opponent Record | 425-422 |
| 678.1 | Avg Opponent Rank | 615.4 |
| W 4 | Longest Streak | W 17 |
| L 3 | Current Streak | L 1 |
Shaw NC
Fayetteville St
| Feb 24 | Lincoln PA (9-21) | L63-69 | Mar 14 | California PA (23-9) | L83-96 |
| Feb 21 | vs Fayetteville St (23-7) | L89-101 | Feb 28 | Bluefield St (16-17) | W71-68 |
| Feb 18 | at Livingstone (9-17) | L84-89 | Feb 27 | JC Smith (10-16) | W90-68 |
| Feb 14 | at W Salem St (4-19) | W73-52 | Feb 25 | Bowie St (7-22) | W86-83 |
| Feb 11 | vs JC Smith (10-16) | W80-76 | Feb 21 | at Shaw NC (14-11) | W101-89 |
| Feb 9 | at Fayetteville St (23-7) | L83-89 | Feb 18 | at Claflin (14-11) | W91-78 |
| Feb 7 | at Claflin (14-11) | W81-79 | Feb 14 | vs JC Smith (10-16) | W91-80 |
| Feb 4 | vs Claflin (14-11) | L79-80 | Feb 12 | vs Livingstone (9-17) | W96-92 |
| Jan 29 | vs Livingstone (9-17) | W87-75 | Feb 9 | vs Shaw NC (14-11) | W89-83 |
| Jan 21 | at JC Smith (10-16) | L77-90 | Feb 7 | at W Salem St (4-19) | W84-74 |
vs
Division II College Basketball