Fine-tune team strengths to model injuries, form, or what-if scenarios
Each run draws new ratings around the real ones. Higher variance means bigger swings.
Bowie St
Fayetteville St
|
65
D
|
Overall |
92
A-
|
|
65
D
|
Power |
84
B
|
|
66
D
6099
|
Offensive |
98
A+
6099
|
|
Bowie St
6099
Fayetteville St
6099
|
||
|
70
C-
6099
|
Defensive |
62
D-
6099
|
|
Bowie St
6099
Fayetteville St
6099
|
||
|
72
C-
|
SoS (Current) |
68
D+
|
|
72
C-
|
SoS (Future) |
68
D+
|
Bowie St
Fayetteville St
| 260 #835 overall |
Overall | 53 #315 overall |
| 257 #673 overall |
Power | 111 #471 overall |
| 247 #704 overall |
Offensive | 7 #130 overall |
| 218 #660 overall |
Defensive | 281 #869 overall |
| 205 #596 overall |
SoS (Current) | 236 #654 overall |
| 205 #596 overall |
SoS (Future) | 236 #654 overall |
Wk 24 (Apr 7), 2025-26: Fayetteville St 88%, Bowie St 12% at Fayetteville St.
Fayetteville St's win probability against Bowie St has held at 77% over the last 6 weeks — this matchup has settled.
Fayetteville St's win probability against Bowie St has held at 83% over the last 6 weeks — this matchup has settled.
Fayetteville St's win probability against Bowie St has held at 88% over the last 6 weeks — this matchup has settled.
| Week | At Bowie St | Neutral | At Fayetteville St |
|---|---|---|---|
| Pre | 74% | 81% | 87% |
| Wk 1 | 74% | 81% | 87% |
| Wk 2 | 67% | 76% | 82% |
| Wk 3 | 78% | 84% | 89% |
| Wk 4 | 75% | 82% | 88% |
| Wk 5 | 76% | 82% | 88% |
| Wk 6 | 80% | 86% | 90% |
| Wk 7 | 71% | 79% | 85% |
| Wk 13 | 82% | 88% | 92% |
| Wk 14 | 83% | 88% | 92% |
| Wk 15 | 85% | 90% | 93% |
| Wk 17 | 80% | 86% | 90% |
| Wk 18 | 77% | 84% | 89% |
| Wk 19 | 76% | 82% | 88% |
| Wk 20 | 75% | 82% | 87% |
| Wk 21 | 77% | 83% | 88% |
| Wk 22 | 77% | 83% | 89% |
| Wk 23 | 77% | 83% | 88% |
| Wk 24 | 77% | 83% | 88% |
Bowie St
Fayetteville St
|
0-2 (0%) |
Head to Head |
2-0 (100%) |
|
7-22 (24.1%) |
Overall |
23-7 (76.7%) |
|
4-9 (30.8%) |
Home |
10-0 (100%) |
|
2-11 (15.4%) |
Away |
8-4 (66.7%) |
|
0-2 (0%) |
Versus D2 Top 25 |
0-2 (0%) |
|
1-16 (5.9%) |
Versus > .500 Teams |
8-6 (57.1%) |
|
6-6 (50%) |
Versus < .500 Teams |
15-1 (93.8%) |
|
3-7 (30%) |
Last 10 Games |
9-1 (90%) |
Bowie St
Fayetteville St
| #663 Shaw NC | Best Win | #317 Virginia Union |
| #938 W Salem St | Worst Loss | #645 Bluefield St |
| 23 pts vs #852 Livingstone | Largest MOV | 28 pts vs #835 Bowie St |
| 39 pts vs #317 Virginia Union | Largest MOD | 13 pts vs #162 California PA |
Bowie St
Fayetteville St
| 69.2 | Points per Game | 89.2 |
| 77.8 | Points Against | 83.3 |
| 70.5 | Home PPG | 94.7 |
| 77.1 | Home PA | 83.9 |
| 65 | Away PPG | 87.7 |
| 78.8 | Away PA | 82.7 |
| 465-374 | Opponent Record | 425-422 |
| 561.9 | Avg Opponent Rank | 615.4 |
| L 6 | Longest Streak | W 17 |
| L 1 | Current Streak | L 1 |
Bowie St
Fayetteville St
| Feb 25 | Fayetteville St (23-7) | L83-86 | Mar 14 | California PA (23-9) | L83-96 |
| Feb 24 | Livingstone (9-17) | W100-77 | Feb 28 | Bluefield St (16-17) | W71-68 |
| Feb 21 | vs Lincoln PA (9-21) | W86-83 | Feb 27 | JC Smith (10-16) | W90-68 |
| Feb 18 | vs Virginia St (21-10) | L61-67 | Feb 25 | Bowie St (7-22) | W86-83 |
| Feb 14 | vs Virginia Union (22-6) | L69-72 | Feb 21 | at Shaw NC (14-11) | W101-89 |
| Feb 11 | vs Eliz. City St (4-21) | W77-73 | Feb 18 | at Claflin (14-11) | W91-78 |
| Feb 9 | vs Bluefield St (16-17) | L54-63 | Feb 14 | vs JC Smith (10-16) | W91-80 |
| Feb 7 | at Bluefield St (16-17) | L73-75 | Feb 12 | vs Livingstone (9-17) | W96-92 |
| Feb 5 | at Eliz. City St (4-21) | L62-72 | Feb 9 | vs Shaw NC (14-11) | W89-83 |
| Jan 24 | at Virginia Union (22-6) | L44-83 | Feb 7 | at W Salem St (4-19) | W84-74 |
vs
Division II College Basketball