Fine-tune team strengths to model injuries, form, or what-if scenarios
Each run draws new ratings around the real ones. Higher variance means bigger swings.
Lees-McRae
FL Southern
|
62
D-
|
Overall |
92
A-
|
|
61
D-
|
Power |
94
A
|
|
65
D
6099
|
Offensive |
98
A+
6099
|
|
Lees-McRae
6099
FL Southern
6099
|
||
|
63
D-
6099
|
Defensive |
70
C-
6099
|
|
Lees-McRae
6099
FL Southern
6099
|
||
|
62
D-
|
SoS (Current) |
85
B
|
|
62
D-
|
SoS (Future) |
85
B
|
Lees-McRae
FL Southern
| 280 #902 overall |
Overall | 56 #323 overall |
| 285 #777 overall |
Power | 42 #371 overall |
| 255 #733 overall |
Offensive | 9 #139 overall |
| 271 #808 overall |
Defensive | 220 #662 overall |
| 278 #795 overall |
SoS (Current) | 110 #480 overall |
| 278 #795 overall |
SoS (Future) | 110 #480 overall |
Wk 24 (Apr 7), 2025-26: FL Southern 98%, Lees-McRae 2% at FL Southern.
FL Southern's win probability against Lees-McRae has held at 95% over the last 6 weeks — this matchup has settled.
FL Southern's win probability against Lees-McRae has held at 97% over the last 6 weeks — this matchup has settled.
FL Southern's win probability against Lees-McRae has held at 98% over the last 6 weeks — this matchup has settled.
| Week | At Lees-McRae | Neutral | At FL Southern |
|---|---|---|---|
| Pre | 86% | 90% | 93% |
| Wk 1 | 70% | 77% | 84% |
| Wk 2 | 65% | 73% | 80% |
| Wk 3 | 80% | 86% | 90% |
| Wk 4 | 86% | 91% | 94% |
| Wk 5 | 93% | 95% | 97% |
| Wk 6 | 88% | 92% | 95% |
| Wk 7 | 96% | 97% | 98% |
| Wk 13 | 96% | 97% | 98% |
| Wk 14 | 96% | 97% | 98% |
| Wk 15 | 96% | 97% | 98% |
| Wk 17 | 96% | 97% | 98% |
| Wk 18 | 96% | 97% | 98% |
| Wk 19 | 96% | 97% | 98% |
| Wk 20 | 96% | 97% | 98% |
| Wk 21 | 96% | 97% | 98% |
| Wk 22 | 95% | 97% | 98% |
| Wk 23 | 95% | 97% | 98% |
| Wk 24 | 95% | 97% | 98% |
Lees-McRae
FL Southern
|
0-1 (0%) |
Head to Head |
1-0 (100%) |
|
9-18 (33.3%) |
Overall |
22-11 (66.7%) |
|
6-6 (50%) |
Home |
16-4 (80%) |
|
3-10 (23.1%) |
Away |
5-6 (45.5%) |
|
0-0 (0%) |
Versus D2 Top 25 |
1-4 (20%) |
|
0-12 (0%) |
Versus > .500 Teams |
8-8 (50%) |
|
9-6 (60%) |
Versus < .500 Teams |
14-3 (82.4%) |
|
3-7 (30%) |
Last 10 Games |
5-5 (50%) |
Lees-McRae
FL Southern
| #794 S Wesleyan | Best Win | #193 Palm Beach Atl |
| #950 Belmont Abbey | Worst Loss | #624 Rollins |
| 38 pts vs #937 Greensboro | Largest MOV | 46 pts vs #902 Lees-McRae |
| 46 pts vs #323 FL Southern | Largest MOD | 33 pts vs #506 Lynn |
Lees-McRae
FL Southern
| 75.1 | Points per Game | 88.8 |
| 81.1 | Points Against | 83.2 |
| 79.2 | Home PPG | 92.6 |
| 76.4 | Home PA | 80.5 |
| 71.3 | Away PPG | 82.6 |
| 83.5 | Away PA | 88.5 |
| 343-424 | Opponent Record | 482-433 |
| 721.7 | Avg Opponent Rank | 500 |
| L 5 | Longest Streak | W 8 |
| L 2 | Current Streak | L 2 |
Lees-McRae
FL Southern
| Feb 25 | vs Belmont Abbey (6-19) | L72-83 | Mar 14 | Montevallo (20-9) | L81-88 |
| Feb 21 | at Converse (10-16) | L87-89 | Mar 5 | at Palm Beach Atl (23-6) | L77-82 |
| Feb 18 | at Erskine (0-28) | W46-45 | Mar 3 | vs Embry-Riddle FL (11-15) | W90-86 |
| Feb 16 | at NC Pembroke (21-9) | L67-81 | Feb 28 | vs Nova SE (30-2) | L73-92 |
| Feb 14 | vs Emmanuel GA (18-13) | L78-80 | Feb 25 | at Barry (13-13) | W84-82 |
| Feb 7 | at Young Harris (23-9) | L62-91 | Feb 21 | vs Tampa (15-12) | L80-85 |
| Feb 4 | vs North Greenville (16-12) | L69-73 | Feb 18 | vs Florida Tech (10-18) | W86-79 |
| Jan 31 | at Shorter (9-17) | W80-68 | Feb 14 | at Embry-Riddle FL (11-15) | W87-82 |
| Jan 28 | at Ferrum (14-11) | L67-85 | Feb 11 | vs Eckerd (12-14) | W106-81 |
| Jan 19 | vs Erskine (0-28) | W78-49 | Feb 7 | at Rollins (10-16) | L76-99 |
vs
Division II College Basketball