Fine-tune team strengths to model injuries, form, or what-if scenarios
Each run draws new ratings around the real ones. Higher variance means bigger swings.
AK Anchorage
FL Southern
|
89
B+
|
Overall |
92
A-
|
|
87
B+
|
Power |
94
A
|
|
66
D
6099
|
Offensive |
98
A+
6099
|
|
AK Anchorage
6099
FL Southern
6099
|
||
|
97
A+
6099
|
Defensive |
70
C-
6099
|
|
AK Anchorage
6099
FL Southern
6099
|
||
|
93
A-
|
SoS (Current) |
85
B
|
|
93
A-
|
SoS (Future) |
85
B
|
AK Anchorage
FL Southern
| 76 #377 overall |
Overall | 56 #323 overall |
| 90 #444 overall |
Power | 42 #371 overall |
| 252 #716 overall |
Offensive | 9 #139 overall |
| 13 #230 overall |
Defensive | 220 #662 overall |
| 45 #399 overall |
SoS (Current) | 110 #480 overall |
| 45 #399 overall |
SoS (Future) | 110 #480 overall |
Wk 24 (Apr 7), 2025-26: FL Southern 73%, AK Anchorage 27% at FL Southern.
FL Southern's win probability against AK Anchorage is trending up — from 53% to 56% over the last 6 weeks.
FL Southern's win probability against AK Anchorage is trending up — from 62% to 65% over the last 6 weeks.
FL Southern's win probability against AK Anchorage has held at 73% over the last 6 weeks — this matchup has settled.
| Week | At AK Anchorage | Neutral | At FL Southern |
|---|---|---|---|
| Pre | 75% | 82% | 87% |
| Wk 1 | 75% | 82% | 87% |
| Wk 2 | 71% | 78% | 85% |
| Wk 3 | 69% | 77% | 84% |
| Wk 4 | 67% | 75% | 82% |
| Wk 5 | 61% | 70% | 77% |
| Wk 6 | 66% | 74% | 81% |
| Wk 7 | 66% | 74% | 81% |
| Wk 13 | 63% | 72% | 79% |
| Wk 14 | 63% | 72% | 79% |
| Wk 15 | 55% | 65% | 73% |
| Wk 17 | 57% | 67% | 75% |
| Wk 18 | 53% | 62% | 71% |
| Wk 19 | 54% | 64% | 72% |
| Wk 20 | 55% | 64% | 73% |
| Wk 21 | 55% | 65% | 73% |
| Wk 22 | 56% | 65% | 74% |
| Wk 23 | 56% | 65% | 73% |
| Wk 24 | 56% | 65% | 73% |
AK Anchorage
FL Southern
|
0-1 (0%) |
Head to Head |
1-0 (100%) |
|
16-12 (57.1%) |
Overall |
22-11 (66.7%) |
|
11-2 (84.6%) |
Home |
16-4 (80%) |
|
4-7 (36.4%) |
Away |
5-6 (45.5%) |
|
0-1 (0%) |
Versus D2 Top 25 |
1-4 (20%) |
|
8-9 (47.1%) |
Versus > .500 Teams |
8-8 (50%) |
|
8-3 (72.7%) |
Versus < .500 Teams |
14-3 (82.4%) |
|
6-4 (60%) |
Last 10 Games |
5-5 (50%) |
AK Anchorage
FL Southern
| #397 NW Nazarene | Best Win | #193 Palm Beach Atl |
| #577 W Washington | Worst Loss | #624 Rollins |
| 34 pts vs #577 W Washington | Largest MOV | 46 pts vs #902 Lees-McRae |
| 36 pts vs #314 Denver | Largest MOD | 33 pts vs #506 Lynn |
AK Anchorage
FL Southern
| 68.8 | Points per Game | 88.8 |
| 67.9 | Points Against | 83.2 |
| 70 | Home PPG | 92.6 |
| 59.4 | Home PA | 80.5 |
| 68 | Away PPG | 82.6 |
| 73.2 | Away PA | 88.5 |
| 436-359 | Opponent Record | 482-433 |
| 456.4 | Avg Opponent Rank | 500 |
| W 5 | Longest Streak | W 8 |
| L 2 | Current Streak | L 2 |
AK Anchorage
FL Southern
| Mar 13 | CS Dom. Hills (22-9) | L58-69 | Mar 14 | Montevallo (20-9) | L81-88 |
| Mar 7 | St Martin's (24-6) | L62-74 | Mar 5 | at Palm Beach Atl (23-6) | L77-82 |
| Mar 6 | AK Fairbanks (11-14) | W87-86 | Mar 3 | vs Embry-Riddle FL (11-15) | W90-86 |
| Feb 28 | vs St Martin's (24-6) | L56-57 | Feb 28 | vs Nova SE (30-2) | L73-92 |
| Feb 26 | vs W Oregon (9-18) | W80-59 | Feb 25 | at Barry (13-13) | W84-82 |
| Feb 21 | at Seattle Pacific (12-12) | L59-67 | Feb 21 | vs Tampa (15-12) | L80-85 |
| Feb 19 | at MT St-Billings (17-11) | W82-75 | Feb 18 | vs Florida Tech (10-18) | W86-79 |
| Feb 14 | vs AK Fairbanks (11-14) | W70-54 | Feb 14 | at Embry-Riddle FL (11-15) | W87-82 |
| Feb 7 | vs NW Nazarene (16-11) | W71-53 | Feb 11 | vs Eckerd (12-14) | W106-81 |
| Feb 5 | vs C Washington (14-14) | W77-70 | Feb 7 | at Rollins (10-16) | L76-99 |
vs
Division II College Basketball