Fine-tune team strengths to model injuries, form, or what-if scenarios
Each run draws new ratings around the real ones. Higher variance means bigger swings.
Wk 24 (Apr 7), 2025-26: NC Pembroke 52%, Chowan 48% at Chowan.
NC Pembroke's win probability against Chowan has held at 52% over the last 6 weeks — this matchup has settled.
NC Pembroke's win probability against Chowan has held at 61% over the last 6 weeks — this matchup has settled.
NC Pembroke's win probability against Chowan has held at 70% over the last 6 weeks — this matchup has settled.