UC Merced at CS Stanislaus Game Prediction
PREDICTED
FINAL SCORE
POINT SPREAD
CS Stanislaus by 4.62
TOTAL POINTS
140
UPDATED
Tuesday, October 27, 2026
See this week's CBB D2 predictions
PRESEASON RATINGS
UC Merced
CS Stanislaus 
|
74
C
|
Overall |
77
C+
|
|
72
C-
|
Power |
76
C
|
|
66
D
|
Offensive |
68
D+
|
|
84
B
|
Defensive |
87
B+
|
|
81
B-
|
SoS (Current) |
77
C+
|
|
81
B-
|
SoS (Full Season) |
77
C+
|
PRESEASON RANKINGS
UC Merced
CS Stanislaus
| 193 #648 overall |
Overall | 169 #592 overall |
| 203 #574 overall |
Power | 176 #544 overall |
| 247 #658 overall |
Offensive | 231 #632 overall |
| 115 #483 overall |
Defensive | 93 #454 overall |
| 133 #498 overall |
SoS (Current) | 169 #534 overall |
| 133 #498 overall |
SoS (Full Season) | 169 #533 overall |
CS Stanislaus#16962%UC Merced#19338%Pre (Oct 27), 2026-27: CS Stanislaus 62%, UC Merced 38% at CS Stanislaus.
CS Stanislaus' win probability against UC Merced has held at 46% over the last 6 updates — this matchup has settled.
CS Stanislaus' win probability against UC Merced has held at 54% over the last 6 updates — this matchup has settled.
CS Stanislaus' win probability against UC Merced has held at 62% over the last 6 updates — this matchup has settled.
CS Stanislaus favored
UC Merced favored
Even, 50%
Drag across the chart
Week-by-week table
| Week | Season | At UC Merced | Neutral | At CS Stanislaus |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wk 17 | 2025-26 | 49% | 57% | 65% |
| Wk 18 | 2025-26 | 47% | 55% | 63% |
| Wk 19 | 2025-26 | 47% | 55% | 63% |
| Wk 20 | 2025-26 | 47% | 56% | 63% |
| Wk 21 | 2025-26 | 47% | 56% | 63% |
| Wk 22 | 2025-26 | 47% | 56% | 63% |
| Wk 23 | 2025-26 | 47% | 55% | 63% |
| Wk 24 | 2025-26 | 47% | 55% | 63% |
| Pre | 2026-27 | 46% | 54% | 62% |
2025-2026 RECORDS
UC Merced
CS Stanislaus
|
2-0 (100%) |
Head to Head |
0-2 (0%) |
|
9-17 (34.6%) |
Overall |
12-15 (44.4%) |
|
6-6 (50%) |
Home |
4-8 (33.3%) |
|
3-11 (21.4%) |
Away |
7-6 (53.8%) |
|
0-2 (0%) |
Versus D2 Top 25 |
0-2 (0%) |
|
2-11 (15.4%) |
Versus > .500 Teams |
5-7 (41.7%) |
|
7-6 (53.8%) |
Versus < .500 Teams |
7-8 (46.7%) |
|
4-6 (40%) |
Last 10 Games |
5-5 (50%) |
2025-2026 SUPERLATIVES
UC Merced
CS Stanislaus
| #444 Humboldt St | Best Win | #434 CS Poly Pomona |
| #869 S Francisco St | Worst Loss | #749 CS Chico |
| 20 pts vs #444 Humboldt St | Largest MOV | 17 pts vs #434 CS Poly Pomona |
| 54 pts vs #31 St Mary's CA | Largest MOD | 41 pts vs #215 St Martin's |
OTHER 2025-2026 STATISTICS
UC Merced
CS Stanislaus
| 68.3 | Points per Game | 70.3 |
| 73.4 | Points Against | 71.8 |
| 72.3 | Home PPG | 70.5 |
| 70.2 | Home PA | 75.3 |
| 64.9 | Away PPG | 70.6 |
| 76.1 | Away PA | 69.8 |
| 402-360 | Opponent Record | 395-391 |
| 506.2 | Avg Opponent Rank | 535.7 |
| L 7 | Longest Streak | L 4 |
| L 3 | Current Streak | W 1 |
RECENT OPPONENTS
UC Merced
CS Stanislaus
| Feb 28 | at CSU East Bay (33-1) | L51-58 | Feb 28 | at S Francisco St (4-26) | W65-56 |
| Feb 26 | at S Francisco St (4-26) | L69-74 | Feb 26 | at CSU East Bay (33-1) | L70-77 |
| Feb 21 | vs CS Dom. Hills (22-9) | L75-78 | Feb 21 | vs Cal St-LA (9-19) | L64-66 |
| Feb 19 | vs Cal St-LA (9-19) | W86-69 | Feb 19 | vs CS Dom. Hills (22-9) | L69-74 |
| Feb 14 | at CS Poly Pomona (17-12) | L53-72 | Feb 14 | at CS San Bern. (14-15) | L72-73 |
| Feb 12 | at CS San Bern. (14-15) | L65-81 | Feb 12 | at CS Poly Pomona (17-12) | W70-53 |
| Feb 7 | vs CS Chico (7-18) | W86-76 | Feb 7 | vs Humboldt St (17-16) | W74-67 |
| Feb 5 | vs Humboldt St (17-16) | W83-63 | Feb 5 | vs CS Chico (7-18) | L69-73 |
| Jan 31 | at CS San Marcos (13-14) | W80-66 | Jan 31 | at CS Monterey Bay (17-12) | W86-81 |
| Jan 29 | at CS Monterey Bay (17-12) | L83-89 | Jan 29 | at CS San Marcos (13-14) | W83-80 |