UC Merced at CS San Bern. Game Prediction
PREDICTED
FINAL SCORE
POINT SPREAD
CS San Bern. by 6.06
TOTAL POINTS
146
UPDATED
Tuesday, October 27, 2026
See this week's CBB D2 predictions
PRESEASON RATINGS
UC Merced
CS San Bern. 
|
74
C
|
Overall |
79
C+
|
|
72
C-
|
Power |
79
C+
|
|
66
D
|
Offensive |
81
B-
|
|
84
B
|
Defensive |
79
C+
|
|
81
B-
|
SoS (Current) |
78
C+
|
|
81
B-
|
SoS (Full Season) |
78
C+
|
PRESEASON RANKINGS
UC Merced
CS San Bern.
| 193 #648 overall |
Overall | 149 #549 overall |
| 203 #574 overall |
Power | 152 #520 overall |
| 247 #658 overall |
Offensive | 138 #507 overall |
| 115 #483 overall |
Defensive | 153 #533 overall |
| 133 #498 overall |
SoS (Current) | 157 #522 overall |
| 133 #498 overall |
SoS (Full Season) | 157 #523 overall |
CS San Bern.#14966%UC Merced#19334%Pre (Oct 27), 2026-27: CS San Bern. 66%, UC Merced 34% at CS San Bern..
CS San Bern.'s win probability against UC Merced has held at 50% over the last 6 updates — this matchup has settled.
CS San Bern.'s win probability against UC Merced has held at 58% over the last 6 updates — this matchup has settled.
CS San Bern.'s win probability against UC Merced has held at 66% over the last 6 updates — this matchup has settled.
CS San Bern. favored
UC Merced favored
Even, 50%
Drag across the chart
Week-by-week table
| Week | Season | At UC Merced | Neutral | At CS San Bern. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wk 17 | 2025-26 | 53% | 61% | 68% |
| Wk 18 | 2025-26 | 52% | 60% | 68% |
| Wk 19 | 2025-26 | 52% | 60% | 68% |
| Wk 20 | 2025-26 | 52% | 60% | 68% |
| Wk 21 | 2025-26 | 52% | 60% | 68% |
| Wk 22 | 2025-26 | 52% | 60% | 68% |
| Wk 23 | 2025-26 | 52% | 60% | 68% |
| Wk 24 | 2025-26 | 52% | 60% | 68% |
| Pre | 2026-27 | 50% | 58% | 66% |
2025-2026 RECORDS
UC Merced
CS San Bern.
|
0-2 (0%) |
Head to Head |
2-0 (100%) |
|
9-17 (34.6%) |
Overall |
14-15 (48.3%) |
|
6-6 (50%) |
Home |
6-5 (54.5%) |
|
3-11 (21.4%) |
Away |
6-8 (42.9%) |
|
0-2 (0%) |
Versus D2 Top 25 |
0-3 (0%) |
|
2-11 (15.4%) |
Versus > .500 Teams |
3-11 (21.4%) |
|
7-6 (53.8%) |
Versus < .500 Teams |
11-4 (73.3%) |
|
4-6 (40%) |
Last 10 Games |
5-5 (50%) |
2025-2026 SUPERLATIVES
UC Merced
CS San Bern.
| #444 Humboldt St | Best Win | #434 CS Poly Pomona |
| #869 S Francisco St | Worst Loss | #717 Cal St-LA |
| 20 pts vs #444 Humboldt St | Largest MOV | 19 pts vs #749 CS Chico |
| 54 pts vs #31 St Mary's CA | Largest MOD | 21 pts vs #203 Point Loma |
OTHER 2025-2026 STATISTICS
UC Merced
CS San Bern.
| 68.3 | Points per Game | 74.7 |
| 73.4 | Points Against | 74.5 |
| 72.3 | Home PPG | 76.7 |
| 70.2 | Home PA | 75.7 |
| 64.9 | Away PPG | 72.7 |
| 76.1 | Away PA | 72.7 |
| 402-360 | Opponent Record | 415-421 |
| 506.2 | Avg Opponent Rank | 541.1 |
| L 7 | Longest Streak | W 4 |
| L 3 | Current Streak | L 2 |
RECENT OPPONENTS
UC Merced
CS San Bern.
| Feb 28 | at CSU East Bay (33-1) | L51-58 | Feb 28 | at CS Dom. Hills (22-9) | L89-90 |
| Feb 26 | at S Francisco St (4-26) | L69-74 | Feb 26 | at Cal St-LA (9-19) | L68-69 |
| Feb 21 | vs CS Dom. Hills (22-9) | L75-78 | Feb 21 | vs CS Chico (7-18) | W83-64 |
| Feb 19 | vs Cal St-LA (9-19) | W86-69 | Feb 19 | vs Humboldt St (17-16) | W80-77 |
| Feb 14 | at CS Poly Pomona (17-12) | L53-72 | Feb 14 | vs CS Stanislaus (12-15) | W73-72 |
| Feb 12 | at CS San Bern. (14-15) | L65-81 | Feb 12 | vs UC Merced (9-17) | W81-65 |
| Feb 7 | vs CS Chico (7-18) | W86-76 | Feb 7 | at CS San Marcos (13-14) | L74-86 |
| Feb 5 | vs Humboldt St (17-16) | W83-63 | Feb 5 | at CS Monterey Bay (17-12) | L82-89 |
| Jan 31 | at CS San Marcos (13-14) | W80-66 | Jan 31 | vs CSU East Bay (33-1) | L79-82 |
| Jan 29 | at CS Monterey Bay (17-12) | L83-89 | Jan 29 | vs S Francisco St (4-26) | W99-90 |