Fine-tune team strengths to model injuries, form, or what-if scenarios
Each run draws new ratings around the real ones. Higher variance means bigger swings.
Colorado Chr
Black Hills St
|
73
C-
|
Overall |
97
A+
|
|
68
D+
|
Power |
95
A
|
|
62
D-
6099
|
Offensive |
88
B+
6099
|
|
Colorado Chr
6099
Black Hills St
6099
|
||
|
85
B
6099
|
Defensive |
94
A
6099
|
|
Colorado Chr
6099
Black Hills St
6099
|
||
|
75
C
|
SoS (Current) |
70
C-
|
|
75
C
|
SoS (Future) |
70
C-
|
Colorado Chr
Black Hills St
| 197 #685 overall |
Overall | 18 #182 overall |
| 238 #639 overall |
Power | 33 #344 overall |
| 279 #811 overall |
Offensive | 86 #400 overall |
| 104 #470 overall |
Defensive | 35 #315 overall |
| 182 #563 overall |
SoS (Current) | 223 #624 overall |
| 182 #563 overall |
SoS (Future) | 223 #624 overall |
Wk 24 (Apr 7), 2025-26: Black Hills St 95%, Colorado Chr 5% at Black Hills St.
Black Hills St's win probability against Colorado Chr has held at 88% over the last 6 weeks — this matchup has settled.
Black Hills St's win probability against Colorado Chr has held at 92% over the last 6 weeks — this matchup has settled.
Black Hills St's win probability against Colorado Chr has held at 95% over the last 6 weeks — this matchup has settled.
| Week | At Colorado Chr | Neutral | At Black Hills St |
|---|---|---|---|
| Pre | 72% | 80% | 86% |
| Wk 1 | 80% | 86% | 90% |
| Wk 2 | 92% | 95% | 96% |
| Wk 3 | 97% | 98% | 98% |
| Wk 4 | 92% | 95% | 97% |
| Wk 5 | 95% | 97% | 98% |
| Wk 6 | 95% | 97% | 98% |
| Wk 7 | 92% | 95% | 97% |
| Wk 13 | 86% | 90% | 94% |
| Wk 14 | 88% | 92% | 95% |
| Wk 15 | 84% | 89% | 93% |
| Wk 17 | 84% | 89% | 93% |
| Wk 18 | 86% | 90% | 93% |
| Wk 19 | 85% | 90% | 93% |
| Wk 20 | 86% | 90% | 93% |
| Wk 21 | 88% | 92% | 95% |
| Wk 22 | 88% | 92% | 95% |
| Wk 23 | 88% | 92% | 95% |
| Wk 24 | 88% | 92% | 95% |
Colorado Chr
Black Hills St
|
0-1 (0%) |
Head to Head |
1-0 (100%) |
|
10-17 (37%) |
Overall |
29-5 (85.3%) |
|
5-6 (45.5%) |
Home |
12-1 (92.3%) |
|
5-10 (33.3%) |
Away |
11-3 (78.6%) |
|
0-2 (0%) |
Versus D2 Top 25 |
2-1 (66.7%) |
|
0-11 (0%) |
Versus > .500 Teams |
9-3 (75%) |
|
10-6 (62.5%) |
Versus < .500 Teams |
20-2 (90.9%) |
|
6-4 (60%) |
Last 10 Games |
9-1 (90%) |
Colorado Chr
Black Hills St
| #612 Col Springs | Best Win | #136 Dallas Bap |
| #817 SD Mines | Worst Loss | #750 Metro St |
| 28 pts vs #817 SD Mines | Largest MOV | 33 pts vs #933 Regis CO |
| 39 pts vs #136 Dallas Bap | Largest MOD | 18 pts vs #376 CSU-Pueblo |
Colorado Chr
Black Hills St
| 68.4 | Points per Game | 82.1 |
| 75.5 | Points Against | 70 |
| 69.6 | Home PPG | 84.1 |
| 70.5 | Home PA | 70.7 |
| 68.5 | Away PPG | 83.1 |
| 78.9 | Away PA | 72.5 |
| 404-406 | Opponent Record | 473-530 |
| 545 | Avg Opponent Rank | 581.5 |
| L 5 | Longest Streak | W 13 |
| L 1 | Current Streak | L 1 |
Colorado Chr
Black Hills St
| Feb 28 | vs Ft Lewis (18-11) | L64-83 | Mar 25 | Nova SE (30-2) | L66-76 |
| Feb 26 | vs NM Highlands (13-22) | W75-67 | Mar 17 | at Dallas Bap (29-7) | W76-62 |
| Feb 21 | at Metro St (10-18) | L65-73 | Mar 15 | St Mary's TX (22-10) | W78-60 |
| Feb 19 | at Regis CO (2-24) | W93-78 | Mar 14 | Lubbock Chr (27-6) | W67-64 |
| Feb 14 | at Col Springs (14-15) | L74-88 | Mar 7 | vs CO Mesa (21-11) | W89-77 |
| Feb 12 | vs CSU-Pueblo (20-8) | L54-56 | Mar 6 | vs Ft Lewis (18-11) | W77-75 |
| Feb 7 | vs SD Mines (8-19) | W86-58 | Mar 3 | vs Col Springs (14-15) | W74-73 |
| Feb 5 | vs Chadron St (7-21) | W86-80 | Feb 28 | vs CO Mesa (21-11) | W74-65 |
| Jan 31 | at Western St CO (10-19) | W79-68 | Feb 26 | vs Westminster UT (10-18) | W80-58 |
| Jan 29 | at Westminster UT (10-18) | W74-65 | Feb 21 | at NM Highlands (13-22) | W85-77 |
vs
Division II College Basketball