Fine-tune team strengths to model injuries, form, or what-if scenarios
Each run draws new ratings around the real ones. Higher variance means bigger swings.
Arkansas Tech
Southern Nazarene
|
68
D+
|
Overall |
94
A
|
|
73
C-
|
Power |
95
A
|
|
63
D-
6099
|
Offensive |
82
B-
6099
|
|
Arkansas Tech
6099
Southern Nazarene
6099
|
||
|
90
A-
6099
|
Defensive |
97
A+
6099
|
|
Arkansas Tech
6099
Southern Nazarene
6099
|
||
|
84
B
|
SoS (Current) |
77
C+
|
|
84
B
|
SoS (Future) |
77
C+
|
Arkansas Tech
Southern Nazarene
| 233 #769 overall |
Overall | 40 #277 overall |
| 194 #569 overall |
Power | 34 #346 overall |
| 269 #771 overall |
Offensive | 126 #482 overall |
| 69 #397 overall |
Defensive | 16 #242 overall |
| 111 #481 overall |
SoS (Current) | 169 #549 overall |
| 111 #481 overall |
SoS (Future) | 169 #549 overall |
Wk 24 (Apr 7), 2025-26: Southern Nazarene 80%, Arkansas Tech 20% at Arkansas Tech.
Southern Nazarene's win probability against Arkansas Tech has held at 80% over the last 6 weeks — this matchup has settled.
Southern Nazarene's win probability against Arkansas Tech has held at 86% over the last 6 weeks — this matchup has settled.
Southern Nazarene's win probability against Arkansas Tech has held at 90% over the last 6 weeks — this matchup has settled.
| Week | At Arkansas Tech | Neutral | At Southern Nazarene |
|---|---|---|---|
| Pre | 65% | 73% | 80% |
| Wk 1 | 65% | 73% | 80% |
| Wk 2 | 73% | 80% | 86% |
| Wk 3 | 81% | 87% | 91% |
| Wk 4 | 81% | 86% | 91% |
| Wk 5 | 73% | 80% | 86% |
| Wk 6 | 76% | 82% | 88% |
| Wk 7 | 76% | 83% | 88% |
| Wk 13 | 71% | 79% | 85% |
| Wk 14 | 75% | 82% | 87% |
| Wk 15 | 73% | 81% | 86% |
| Wk 17 | 70% | 77% | 84% |
| Wk 18 | 78% | 85% | 89% |
| Wk 19 | 80% | 86% | 90% |
| Wk 20 | 80% | 86% | 90% |
| Wk 21 | 80% | 86% | 90% |
| Wk 22 | 80% | 86% | 90% |
| Wk 23 | 80% | 86% | 90% |
| Wk 24 | 80% | 86% | 90% |
Arkansas Tech
Southern Nazarene
|
0-2 (0%) |
Head to Head |
2-0 (100%) |
|
7-21 (25%) |
Overall |
23-8 (74.2%) |
|
7-6 (53.8%) |
Home |
13-3 (81.3%) |
|
0-14 (0%) |
Away |
8-4 (66.7%) |
|
0-3 (0%) |
Versus D2 Top 25 |
1-2 (33.3%) |
|
1-11 (8.3%) |
Versus > .500 Teams |
4-6 (40%) |
|
6-10 (37.5%) |
Versus < .500 Teams |
19-2 (90.5%) |
|
1-9 (10%) |
Last 10 Games |
7-3 (70%) |
Arkansas Tech
Southern Nazarene
| #262 Harding | Best Win | #127 OK Baptist |
| #878 Newman | Worst Loss | #689 NW Oklahoma St |
| 19 pts vs #689 NW Oklahoma St | Largest MOV | 36 pts vs #689 NW Oklahoma St |
| 44 pts vs #166 Arkansas St | Largest MOD | 23 pts vs #127 OK Baptist |
Arkansas Tech
Southern Nazarene
| 64.6 | Points per Game | 73.2 |
| 71.8 | Points Against | 65.6 |
| 68.7 | Home PPG | 72.6 |
| 66.6 | Home PA | 61.4 |
| 59.1 | Away PPG | 72.7 |
| 74.9 | Away PA | 70.2 |
| 429-386 | Opponent Record | 448-447 |
| 501 | Avg Opponent Rank | 538.4 |
| L 7 | Longest Streak | W 10 |
| L 6 | Current Streak | L 1 |
Arkansas Tech
Southern Nazarene
| Feb 28 | at S Arkansas (11-18) | L60-90 | Mar 8 | Harding (22-8) | L68-73 |
| Feb 26 | vs Henderson St (10-18) | L74-79 | Mar 7 | OK Baptist (31-4) | W77-72 |
| Feb 21 | at East Central OK (13-14) | L61-64 | Mar 6 | East Central OK (13-14) | W89-65 |
| Feb 19 | at SE Oklahoma (9-20) | L47-61 | Feb 28 | vs NW Oklahoma St (10-18) | W89-53 |
| Feb 14 | at Ouachita (20-7) | L57-71 | Feb 26 | at SE Oklahoma (9-20) | W70-49 |
| Feb 12 | at Harding (22-8) | L48-78 | Feb 21 | vs Henderson St (10-18) | W74-56 |
| Feb 9 | vs Ark Monticello (8-18) | W73-62 | Feb 19 | vs Ouachita (20-7) | W73-60 |
| Feb 7 | vs OK Baptist (31-4) | L64-66 | Feb 16 | vs East Central OK (13-14) | L57-65 |
| Feb 5 | vs Southern Nazarene (23-8) | L70-77 | Feb 14 | at SW Oklahoma (9-18) | W62-57 |
| Jan 31 | at NW Oklahoma St (10-18) | L63-76 | Feb 12 | vs OK Baptist (31-4) | L56-72 |
vs
Division II College Basketball