Prediction Updated: Sunday June 29, 2025
| SIMULATION RESULTS | ||
|---|---|---|
|
Lightweight
Islam Makhachev 51 |
WIN PROBABILITY Percent chance each fighter has to win |
Lightweight
Ilia Topuria 49 |
| RATINGS | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| A+ | 99 | Performance | 99 | A+ |
| A+ | 99 | Power | 99 | A+ |
|
A+
|
99
|
Offensive |
99
|
A+
|
|
A+
|
99
|
Defensive |
99
|
A+
|
| RANKINGS | ||
|---|---|---|
| 1 | Performance | 2 |
| 1 | Power | 2 |
| 1 | Offensive | 2 |
| 2 | Defensive | 1 |
| RECORDS | ||
|---|---|---|
| 16-1 (94.1%) | Overall | 9-0 (100%) |
| 3-0 (100%) | Versus Current Top 10 | 1-0 (100%) |
| 15-1 (93.8%) | Versus > .500 Fighters | 8-0 (100%) |
| 1-0 (100%) | Versus < .500 Fighters | 1-0 (100%) |
| 5-0 (100%) | Last 5 Fights | 5-0 (100%) |
| SUPERLATIVES | ||
|---|---|---|
| Lightweight #5 Alexander Volkanovski (14-3) 2023-10-21 UFC 294: Makhachev vs. Volkanovski 2 Round 1 KO/TKO Kick | Best Win | Featherweight #5 Alexander Volkanovski (14-3) 2024-02-17 UFC 298: Volkanovski vs. Topuria Round 2 KO/TKO Punch |
| Islam Makhachev has not lost to any currently ranked opponents. | Worst Loss | Ilia Topuria has not lost to any currently ranked opponents. |
| OTHER STATISTICS | ||
|---|---|---|
| 11 (64.7%) | Finishes | 7 (77.8%) |
| 3 (17.6%) | KOs | 6 (66.7%) |
| 8 (47.1%) | Submissions | 1 (11.1%) |
| 5 (29.4%) | Decisions | 2 (22.2%) |
| 187-103 | Opponent Record | 98-45 |
| 23.9 | Average Opponent Rank | 29 |
| W 15 | Long Streak | W 9 |
| W 15 | Current Streak | W 9 |
| LAST 5 FIGHTS | ||
|---|---|---|
| W 2025-01-18 Lightweight #32 Renato Moicano (12-7) Round 1 SUB D'Arce Choke UFC 311: Makhachev vs. Moicano |
W 2025-06-28 Lightweight #13 Charles Oliveira (23-11) Round 1 KO/TKO Punch UFC 317: Topuria vs. Oliveira |
|
| W 2024-06-01 Lightweight #31 Dustin Poirier (22-8) Round 5 SUB D'Arce Choke UFC 302: Makhachev vs. Poirier |
W 2024-10-26 Featherweight #20 Max Holloway (22-8) Round 3 KO/TKO Punch UFC 308: Topuria vs. Holloway |
|
| W 2023-10-21 Lightweight #5 Alexander Volkanovski (14-3) Round 1 KO/TKO Kick UFC 294: Makhachev vs. Volkanovski 2 |
W 2024-02-17 Featherweight #5 Alexander Volkanovski (14-3) Round 2 KO/TKO Punch UFC 298: Volkanovski vs. Topuria |
|
| W 2023-02-11 Lightweight #5 Alexander Volkanovski (14-3) Round 5 U-DEC UFC 284: Makhachev vs. Volkanovski |
W 2023-06-24 Featherweight #30 Josh Emmett (10-5) Round 5 U-DEC UFC Fight Night: Emmett vs. Topuria |
|
| W 2022-10-22 Lightweight #13 Charles Oliveira (23-11) Round 2 SUB Arm Triangle UFC 280: Oliveira vs. Makhachev |
W 2022-12-10 Featherweight #26 Bryce Mitchell (8-3) Round 2 SUB Arm Triangle UFC 282: Blachowicz vs. Ankalaev |