Prediction Updated: Monday April 28, 2025
| SIMULATION RESULTS | ||
|---|---|---|
|
Lightweight
Islam Makhachev 74 |
WIN PROBABILITY Percent chance each fighter has to win |
Featherweight
Alexander Volkanovski 26 |
| RATINGS Fighter ratings and rankings are relative to respective weight classes | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| A+ | 99 | Performance | 97 | A |
| A+ | 99 | Power | 98 | A+ |
|
A+
|
99
|
Offensive |
99
|
A+
|
|
A+
|
99
|
Defensive |
93
|
A-
|
| RANKINGS | ||
|---|---|---|
| 1 | Performance | 6 |
| 1 | Power | 3 |
| 1 | Offensive | 2 |
| 1 | Defensive | 15 |
| RECORDS | ||
|---|---|---|
| 16-1 (94.1%) | Overall | 14-3 (82.4%) |
| 4-0 (100%) | Versus Current Top 10 | 1-3 (25%) |
| 15-1 (93.8%) | Versus > .500 Fighters | 11-3 (78.6%) |
| 1-0 (100%) | Versus < .500 Fighters | 3-0 (100%) |
| 5-0 (100%) | Last 5 Fights | 2-3 (40%) |
| SUPERLATIVES | ||
|---|---|---|
| Lightweight #4 Arman Tsarukyan (8-2) 2019-04-20 UFC Fight Night: Overeem vs. Oleinik Round 3 U-DEC | Best Win | Featherweight #9 Diego Lopes (5-2) 2025-04-12 UFC 314: Volkanovski vs. Lopes Round 5 U-DEC |
| Islam Makhachev has not lost to any currently ranked opponents. | Worst Loss | Featherweight #1 Ilia Topuria (8-0) 2024-02-17 UFC 298: Volkanovski vs. Topuria Round 2 KO/TKO Punch |
| OTHER STATISTICS | ||
|---|---|---|
| 11 (64.7%) | Finishes | 5 (29.4%) |
| 3 (17.6%) | KOs | 5 (29.4%) |
| 8 (47.1%) | Submissions | 0 (0%) |
| 5 (29.4%) | Decisions | 9 (52.9%) |
| 187-100 | Opponent Record | 185-78 |
| 18.7 | Average Opponent Rank | 30.3 |
| W 15 | Long Streak | W 12 |
| W 15 | Current Streak | W 1 |
| LAST 5 FIGHTS | ||
|---|---|---|
| W 2025-01-18 Lightweight #20 Renato Moicano (12-6) Round 1 SUB D'Arce Choke UFC 311: Makhachev vs. Moicano |
W 2025-04-12 Featherweight #9 Diego Lopes (5-2) Round 5 U-DEC UFC 314: Volkanovski vs. Lopes |
|
| W 2024-06-01 Lightweight #23 Dustin Poirier (22-8) Round 5 SUB D'Arce Choke UFC 302: Makhachev vs. Poirier |
L 2024-02-17 Featherweight #1 Ilia Topuria (8-0) Round 2 KO/TKO Punch UFC 298: Volkanovski vs. Topuria |
|
| W 2023-10-21 Lightweight #6 Alexander Volkanovski (14-3) Round 1 KO/TKO Kick UFC 294: Makhachev vs. Volkanovski 2 |
L 2023-10-21 Lightweight #1 Islam Makhachev (16-1) Round 1 KO/TKO Kick UFC 294: Makhachev vs. Volkanovski 2 |
|
| W 2023-02-11 Lightweight #6 Alexander Volkanovski (14-3) Round 5 U-DEC UFC 284: Makhachev vs. Volkanovski |
W 2023-07-08 Featherweight #35 Yair Rodriguez (11-4) Round 3 KO/TKO Punches UFC 290: Volkanovski vs. Rodriguez |
|
| W 2022-10-22 Lightweight #7 Charles Oliveira (23-10) Round 2 SUB Arm Triangle UFC 280: Oliveira vs. Makhachev |
L 2023-02-11 Lightweight #1 Islam Makhachev (16-1) Round 5 U-DEC UFC 284: Makhachev vs. Volkanovski |