Prediction Updated: Sunday March 23, 2025
| SIMULATION RESULTS | ||
|---|---|---|
|
Heavyweight
Tom Aspinall 65 |
WIN PROBABILITY Percent chance each fighter has to win |
Heavyweight
Curtis Blaydes 35 |
| RATINGS | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| A+ | 98 | Performance | 93 | A- |
| A+ | 99 | Power | 93 | A- |
|
A
|
94
|
Offensive |
96
|
A
|
|
A+
|
99
|
Defensive |
95
|
A
|
| RANKINGS | ||
|---|---|---|
| 2 | Performance | 7 |
| 1 | Power | 7 |
| 6 | Offensive | 4 |
| 1 | Defensive | 5 |
| RECORDS | ||
|---|---|---|
| 8-1 (88.9%) | Overall | 13-5 (72.2%) |
| 4-1 (80%) | Versus Current Top 10 | 3-2 (60%) |
| 6-1 (85.7%) | Versus > .500 Fighters | 10-5 (66.7%) |
| 2-0 (100%) | Versus < .500 Fighters | 3-0 (100%) |
| 4-1 (80%) | Last 5 Fights | 3-2 (60%) |
| SUPERLATIVES | ||
|---|---|---|
| Heavyweight #6 Alexander Volkov (12-5) 2022-03-19 UFC Fight Night: Volkov vs. Aspinall Round 1 SUB Straight Armbar | Best Win | Heavyweight #1 Jailton Almeida (8-1) 2024-03-09 UFC 299: O'Malley vs. Vera 2 Round 2 KO/TKO Punches |
| Heavyweight #7 Curtis Blaydes (13-5) 2022-07-23 UFC Fight Night: Blaydes vs. Aspinall Round 1 KO/TKO | Worst Loss | Heavyweight #17 Derrick Lewis (19-10) 2021-02-20 UFC Fight Night: Blaydes vs. Lewis Round 2 KO/TKO Punch |
| OTHER STATISTICS | ||
|---|---|---|
| 8 (88.9%) | Finishes | 8 (44.4%) |
| 6 (66.7%) | KOs | 8 (44.4%) |
| 2 (22.2%) | Submissions | 0 (0%) |
| 0 (0%) | Decisions | 5 (27.8%) |
| 95-63 | Opponent Record | 157-83 |
| 14.4 | Average Opponent Rank | 10.4 |
| W 5 | Long Streak | W 5 |
| W 3 | Current Streak | L 1 |
| LAST 5 FIGHTS | ||
|---|---|---|
| W 2024-07-27 Heavyweight #7 Curtis Blaydes (13-5) Round 1 KO/TKO Punch UFC 304: Edwards vs. Muhammad 2 |
L 2024-07-27 Heavyweight #2 Tom Aspinall (8-1) Round 1 KO/TKO Punch UFC 304: Edwards vs. Muhammad 2 |
|
| W 2023-11-11 Heavyweight #8 Sergei Pavlovich (7-3) Round 1 KO/TKO Punch UFC 295: Prochazka vs. Pereira |
W 2024-03-09 Heavyweight #1 Jailton Almeida (8-1) Round 2 KO/TKO Punches UFC 299: O'Malley vs. Vera 2 |
|
| W 2023-07-22 Heavyweight #9 Marcin Tybura (14-8) Round 1 KO/TKO Punch UFC Fight Night: Aspinall vs. Tybura |
L 2023-04-22 Heavyweight #8 Sergei Pavlovich (7-3) Round 1 KO/TKO Punches UFC Fight Night: Pavlovich vs. Blaydes |
|
| L 2022-07-23 Heavyweight #7 Curtis Blaydes (13-5) Round 1 KO/TKO UFC Fight Night: Blaydes vs. Aspinall |
W 2022-07-23 Heavyweight #2 Tom Aspinall (8-1) Round 1 KO/TKO UFC Fight Night: Blaydes vs. Aspinall |
|
| W 2022-03-19 Heavyweight #6 Alexander Volkov (12-5) Round 1 SUB Straight Armbar UFC Fight Night: Volkov vs. Aspinall |
W 2022-03-26 Heavyweight #29 Chris Daukaus (4-4) Round 2 KO/TKO Punch UFC Fight Night: Blaydes vs. Daukaus |