2025 Stanley Cup Final – Panthers–Oilers Odds Report Before Game 6

By: Roger Wright, Guest Contributor
June 16, 2025
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The Florida Panthers are on the brink of history. With a commanding 5-2 victory in Game 5 against the Edmonton Oilers, the defending champions stand just one win away from securing back-to-back Stanley Cup titles. The series shifts back to Amerant Bank Arena in Sunrise, Florida, where the Panthers will have the chance to hoist the Cup on home ice.

As anticipation builds ahead of Tuesday’s Game 6, the odds and expert analysis are starting to lean decisively in Florida’s favor, not only due to their momentum but because of the balance and composure they’ve displayed throughout this high-stakes series.

Florida's Offensive Depth Proves Too Much

Florida’s 5-2 Game 5 win served as yet another showcase of their firepower and versatility. Brad Marchand, the 37-year-old veteran acquisition, scored twice to bring his playoff goal total to ten. His performance in the Final has been historic—he’s the first player since 1988 to tally six goals in a Stanley Cup Final. Combine that with Sam Bennett’s playoff surge—15 goals overall, five in this series—and it’s clear Florida’s offensive core is thriving.

Their 23 goals in the series, compared to Edmonton’s 16, underline the Panthers' dominance. Had they not let leads slip in two overtime losses (Games 1 and 4), this series could very well have ended in a sweep.

The Panthers are generating consistent pressure and scoring from all lines, including Sam Reinhart, Aleksander Barkov, Matthew Tkachuk, Carter Verhaeghe, and Anton Lundell—all capable threats. Their ability to score from nearly any position on the ice makes them incredibly difficult to contain. This impact shows not just in the box score, but also in the shifting NHL odds by FanDuel as Florida continues to surge.

The Goaltending Edge: Bobrovsky Holds Strong

Goaltending has often been the differentiator in postseason runs, and Sergei Bobrovsky continues to prove why he’s among the league’s elite. While Edmonton boasts generational talent in Connor McDavid and Leon Draisaitl, the Panthers have countered with structure, grit, and Bobrovsky’s timely saves. Even when McDavid finally broke through for his first goal of the Final in Game 5, the moment felt overdue rather than threatening.

Bobrovsky has been the calming presence behind Florida’s aggressive forecheck and blue-line pinch strategy. He’s made key saves in every game, often shifting momentum. More importantly, his experience has fortified a defense that limits second-chance opportunities, clogs shooting lanes, and transitions quickly.

Game 6 Odds and Prediction

Florida enters Game 6 as a -142 favorite, with the Oilers listed at +120. Those odds reflect more than just recent wins; they suggest a shift in belief. Confidence has grown not just among bettors, but within the team itself. Game 6 will take place on home ice, a location where the Panthers now have a chance to celebrate with their fans after failing to do so in similar circumstances a year ago. The Panthers are also an impressive 10-3 on the road this postseason, including two wins in Edmonton, meaning the venue hasn’t fazed them, regardless of pressure.

Based on performance and momentum, the prediction leans toward a 6-3 Florida win. That outlook matches the pattern of the series: high scoring, fast starts, and decisive finishes. Florida has built two-goal leads in four of five games. Expect them to repeat that trend on Tuesday night.

Prop Picks and Value Bets

The puck line is currently set at Panthers -1.5 goals (+170), with the over/under at 6.5 total goals (-102 for the over). Given that all five games in the series have featured at least seven goals, betting the over feels justified. Edmonton’s defensive vulnerabilities, paired with Florida’s depth, support the likelihood of another wide-open affair.

Prop bets also offer value. Sam Bennett to score sits at +180—a favorable number given his recent form. His tenacity around the net and relentless style have created opportunities in bunches. With Florida’s aggressive forecheck and tendency to swarm the crease, he’s a strong candidate to add another tally.

Florida’s trend of pulling away late is also relevant. Edmonton, when trailing, will likely pull their goalie early. Florida has shown they can capitalize on empty nets, as they did in Game 5. If the Panthers do gain a two-goal cushion, the puck line becomes a real possibility to cash in again.

Experience and Mental Edge

What might give Florida the final edge isn’t just statistics—it’s memory. Last season, the Panthers led the Stanley Cup Final 3-0 before nearly collapsing and being forced into a Game 7. That lesson isn’t lost on this year’s squad. With nearly the same core in place, they now understand the emotional discipline required at this stage. They’re aware of the stakes, but they’re not looking too far ahead. Legacies, naturally, are forged in these moments.

Head coach Paul Maurice emphasized the importance of staying grounded, and the players are echoing that. “The job’s not done yet,” said Bennett. The team knows this is their toughest game yet—and they’re treating it as such. Last year’s mistakes have given them a blueprint for how not to approach a close-out opportunity. This time, the Panthers appear locked in.

The Cup Awaits—and Florida’s Built to Claim It

Edmonton has fought hard, pushing the series with two overtime wins. But Florida looks like the more complete team. While the Oilers boast elite talent in McDavid and Draisaitl, their depth fades beyond the top line.

Florida’s four-line attack, structure, and goaltending have worn opponents down. The fatigue is showing, and the Panthers are ready to finish the job.

Game 6 offers more than a title—it’s redemption. Last year’s run nearly unraveled. This time, they’re composed, at home, and in control.

Expect Edmonton to come out swinging. But when the final horn sounds, Florida will likely be hoisting the Stanley Cup.