2025-2026 NFL Prop Predictions
NFL Week 1 Rushing Props & Player Projections
Last updated: August 27, 2025
| Player | Team | Opponent | Venue | Attempts | Yards | TDs | 1st Downs | Fumbles | Fumbles Lost |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Derrick Henry | BAL | BUF | Away | 21.6 | 143.7 | 1.4 | 5.9 | 0.8 | 0.5 |
| Saquon Barkley | PHI | DAL | Home | 22.0 | 130.3 | 1.3 | 6.1 | 0.3 | 0.3 |
| Jonathan Taylor | IND | MIA | Home | 22.8 | 104.0 | 1.1 | 5.1 | 0.4 | 0.2 |
| James Conner | ARI | NO | Away | 17.1 | 95.9 | 1.2 | 5.9 | 0.4 | 0.1 |
| Aaron Jones | MIN | CHI | Away | 18.3 | 92.2 | 0.6 | 4.5 | 0.5 | 0.4 |
| Kyren Williams | LA | HOU | Home | 23.2 | 91.8 | 1.2 | 5.9 | 1.0 | 0.9 |
| Chuba Hubbard | CAR | JAX | Away | 18.4 | 91.3 | 1.5 | 5.6 | 0.2 | 0.3 |
| Bijan Robinson | ATL | TB | Home | 19.3 | 85.3 | 1.3 | 5.1 | 0.5 | 0.2 |
| Tyrone Tracy | NYG | WAS | Away | 16.5 | 83.0 | 0.7 | 4.0 | 0.6 | 0.8 |
| Jahmyr Gibbs | DET | GB | Away | 15.8 | 82.0 | 1.4 | 5.0 | 0.0 | 0.1 |
| Josh Jacobs | GB | DET | Home | 18.3 | 81.2 | 1.6 | 4.5 | 0.9 | 0.9 |
| Alvin Kamara | NO | ARI | Home | 17.3 | 80.1 | 0.8 | 4.6 | 0.0 | 0.0 |
| J.K. Dobbins | DEN | TEN | Home | 17.6 | 79.2 | 1.6 | 4.2 | 0.0 | 0.1 |
| Bucky Irving | TB | ATL | Away | 13.2 | 77.6 | 0.6 | 4.4 | 0.5 | 0.4 |
| Jayden Daniels | WAS | NYG | Home | 11.7 | 75.8 | 0.7 | 4.3 | 0.8 | 0.1 |
| Chase Brown | CIN | CLE | Away | 15.4 | 73.3 | 0.9 | 3.5 | 0.5 | 0.4 |
| Christian McCaffrey | SF | SEA | Away | 15.6 | 71.5 | 0.0 | 4.3 | 0.1 | 0.1 |
| Kareem Hunt | KC | LAC | Home | 16.5 | 71.3 | 0.7 | 3.8 | 0.0 | 0.2 |
| Rhamondre Stevenson | NE | LV | Home | 16.6 | 70.8 | 1.0 | 3.3 | 0.9 | 0.9 |
| Byrce Young | CAR | JAX | Away | 15.7 | 69.4 | 1.3 | 4.1 | 0.0 | 0.3 |
| Devon Achane | MIA | IND | Away | 15.3 | 68.1 | 0.6 | 3.1 | 0.0 | 0.1 |
| Kenneth Walker | SEA | SF | Home | 17.0 | 67.9 | 1.4 | 3.3 | 0.4 | 0.1 |
| Tony Pollard | TEN | DEN | Away | 17.1 | 66.4 | 0.3 | 3.6 | 0.5 | 0.5 |
| D'Andre Swift | CHI | MIN | Home | 17.3 | 65.9 | 0.7 | 2.8 | 0.2 | 0.1 |
| Breece Hall | NYJ | PIT | Home | 16.0 | 64.2 | 0.7 | 3.5 | 1.0 | 0.4 |
| Lamar Jackson | BAL | BUF | Away | 10.3 | 64.0 | 0.3 | 3.6 | 1.1 | 1.1 |
| David Montgomery | DET | GB | Away | 14.5 | 61.1 | 1.4 | 4.5 | 0.5 | 0.4 |
| Nick Chubb | HOU | LA | Away | 17.2 | 59.1 | 0.6 | 3.2 | 0.4 | 0.5 |
| Chris Rodriguez | WAS | NYG | Home | 10.7 | 58.8 | 1.0 | 3.4 | 0.2 | 0.1 |
| Jerome Ford | CLE | CIN | Home | 10.4 | 58.4 | 0.7 | 3.0 | 0.0 | 0.1 |
| Isiah Pacheco | KC | LAC | Home | 13.1 | 56.6 | 0.0 | 2.5 | 0.0 | 0.1 |
| Kyler Murray | ARI | NO | Away | 7.1 | 56.3 | 0.8 | 2.9 | 0.7 | 0.7 |
| Travis Etienne | JAX | CAR | Home | 13.7 | 53.4 | 0.3 | 3.5 | 0.3 | 0.4 |
| Treveyon Henderson | NE | LV | Home | 13.4 | 51.7 | 0.5 | 2.7 | 0.6 | 0.4 |
| James Cook | BUF | BAL | Home | 13.4 | 51.5 | 1.1 | 2.6 | 0.2 | 0.1 |
| Austin Ekeler | WAS | NYG | Home | 10.0 | 49.0 | 0.8 | 2.5 | 0.5 | 0.2 |
| Jalen Hurts | PHI | DAL | Home | 10.4 | 46.5 | 1.4 | 5.0 | 0.7 | 0.7 |
| Drake Maye | NE | LV | Home | 5.8 | 45.7 | 0.3 | 2.4 | 0.8 | 0.8 |
| Jaylen Warren | PIT | NYJ | Away | 11.2 | 44.6 | 0.1 | 2.9 | 0.3 | 0.4 |
| Ashton Jeanty | LV | NE | Away | 13.0 | 43.9 | 0.2 | 2.6 | 0.8 | 0.6 |
| Tyler Allgeier | ATL | TB | Home | 9.6 | 43.7 | 0.2 | 2.8 | 0.3 | 0.2 |
| Spencer Rattler | NO | ARI | Home | 5.1 | 42.3 | 0.0 | 2.4 | 0.8 | 0.1 |
| RJ Harvey | DEN | TEN | Home | 11.1 | 41.1 | 0.7 | 2.8 | 0.3 | 0.3 |
| Javonte Williams | DAL | PHI | Away | 11.0 | 39.7 | 0.1 | 2.7 | 0.8 | 0.8 |
| Omarion Hampton | LAC | KC | Home | 11.7 | 38.3 | 0.7 | 3.0 | 0.1 | 0.1 |
| Caleb Williams | CHI | MIN | Home | 6.5 | 36.5 | 0.0 | 2.0 | 0.7 | 0.8 |
| Bo Nix | DEN | TEN | Home | 7.8 | 35.8 | 0.7 | 3.4 | 0.2 | 0.1 |
| Josh Allen | BUF | BAL | Home | 8.1 | 35.1 | 1.1 | 3.0 | 0.0 | 0.1 |
| Brock Purdy | SF | SEA | Away | 7.5 | 34.3 | 0.6 | 3.9 | 0.7 | 0.1 |
| Tyjae Spears | TEN | DEN | Away | 9.9 | 33.1 | 0.4 | 2.1 | 0.1 | 0.0 |
| Patrick Mahomes | KC | LAC | Home | 5.8 | 32.4 | 0.1 | 2.3 | 0.4 | 0.2 |
| Geno Smith | LV | NE | Away | 5.6 | 31.9 | 0.2 | 2.1 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
| Baker Mayfield | TB | ATL | Away | 5.3 | 29.0 | 0.2 | 2.5 | 1.1 | 0.4 |
| Justin Herbert | LAC | KC | Home | 5.7 | 24.3 | 0.2 | 2.3 | 0.4 | 0.4 |
| C.J. Stroud | HOU | LA | Away | 5.6 | 24.1 | 0.0 | 1.6 | 0.5 | 0.4 |
| Justice Hill | BAL | BUF | Away | 5.4 | 22.8 | 0.1 | 1.9 | 0.2 | 0.2 |
| Joe Burrow | CIN | CLE | Away | 4.8 | 20.4 | 0.6 | 1.8 | 0.5 | 0.1 |
| Deebo Samuel | WAS | NYG | Home | 5.5 | 18.5 | 0.2 | 1.1 | 0.2 | 0.1 |
| Sam Darnold | SEA | SF | Home | 5.9 | 18.1 | 0.2 | 2.2 | 0.8 | 0.8 |
| Russell Wilson | NYG | WAS | Away | 5.3 | 17.6 | 0.3 | 2.2 | 0.7 | 1.0 |
| Jordan Love | GB | DET | Home | 4.2 | 13.2 | 0.4 | 1.5 | 1.4 | 0.0 |
| Trevor Lawrence | JAX | CAR | Home | 5.0 | 10.7 | 1.6 | 2.3 | 0.0 | 0.1 |
Jacob Kaminsky, Data Scientist
Jacob Kaminsky is a graduate of Virginia Tech and holds a Bachelor of Science in Computational Modeling and Data Analytics.