2025-2026 NFL Prop Predictions
NFL Week 1 Passing Props & Player Projections
Last updated: August 27, 2025
| Player | Team | Opponent | Venue | Completions | Attempts | Yards | TDs | INTs | Sacks | Fumbles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Joe Burrow | CIN | CLE | Away | 25.9 | 37.7 | 323.4 | 3.0 | 0.1 | 3.7 | 1.2 |
| Jared Goff | DET | GB | Away | 25.5 | 35.2 | 309.3 | 2.7 | 1.5 | 2.7 | 0.9 |
| Michael Penix | ATL | TB | Home | 23.1 | 37.4 | 289.1 | 1.6 | 1.5 | 1.4 | 1.1 |
| Baker Mayfield | TB | ATL | Away | 25.6 | 35.6 | 282.7 | 3.1 | 1.7 | 2.6 | 0.1 |
| Josh Allen | BUF | BAL | Home | 23.1 | 35.3 | 281.2 | 2.7 | 0.2 | 2.5 | 0.6 |
| Tua Tagovailoa | MIA | IND | Away | 27.5 | 37.7 | 271.2 | 2.3 | 1.5 | 2.5 | 0.8 |
| Brock Purdy | SF | SEA | Away | 21.4 | 33.2 | 269.9 | 1.7 | 1.4 | 2.9 | 0.9 |
| Geno Smith | LV | NE | Away | 25.4 | 36.7 | 264.8 | 1.9 | 1.2 | 3.2 | 0.1 |
| Jordan Love | GB | DET | Home | 20.7 | 33.5 | 263.9 | 1.8 | 1.6 | 1.3 | 0.0 |
| Kyler Murray | ARI | NO | Away | 23.7 | 36.5 | 263.1 | 1.4 | 1.4 | 2.6 | 0.6 |
| JJ McCarthy | MIN | CHI | Away | 20.5 | 31.6 | 262.0 | 2.0 | 1.0 | 3.7 | 0.8 |
| Patrick Mahomes | KC | LAC | Home | 25.7 | 36.9 | 260.1 | 2.3 | 1.5 | 3.1 | 0.0 |
| Sam Darnold | SEA | SF | Home | 21.9 | 32.2 | 259.8 | 2.7 | 1.3 | 3.6 | 0.5 |
| Lamar Jackson | BAL | BUF | Away | 20.2 | 30.8 | 252.4 | 2.9 | 0.6 | 2.1 | 0.8 |
| Caleb Williams | CHI | MIN | Home | 24.3 | 37.4 | 249.1 | 1.6 | 1.3 | 6.1 | 0.8 |
| Jayden Daniels | WAS | NYG | Home | 22.5 | 31.5 | 247.9 | 2.2 | 0.3 | 4.1 | 0.1 |
| Drake Maye | NE | LV | Home | 22.2 | 32.8 | 242.5 | 2.1 | 1.3 | 3.6 | 0.7 |
| Matthew Stafford | LA | HOU | Home | 21.1 | 32.9 | 242.2 | 2.1 | 1.3 | 2.6 | 0.5 |
| Justin Herbert | LAC | KC | Home | 21.3 | 31.7 | 242.2 | 1.8 | 0.2 | 2.9 | 0.6 |
| Bryce Young | CAR | JAX | Away | 21.1 | 34.1 | 237.8 | 1.8 | 0.6 | 2.8 | 0.5 |
| CJ Stroud | HOU | LA | Away | 20.6 | 32.8 | 235.1 | 1.8 | 1.2 | 3.8 | 0.6 |
| Daniel Jones | IND | MIA | Home | 24.9 | 37.5 | 234.4 | 1.1 | 1.3 | 3.4 | 0.8 |
| Trevor Lawrence | JAX | CAR | Home | 19.2 | 30.3 | 230.8 | 2.1 | 1.1 | 1.9 | 0.2 |
| Jalen Hurts | PHI | DAL | Home | 19.5 | 28.4 | 229.4 | 1.9 | 0.7 | 3.9 | 0.9 |
| Spencer Rattler | NO | ARI | Home | 21.5 | 35.1 | 222.5 | 0.6 | 1.0 | 3.9 | 1.1 |
| Bo Nix | DEN | TEN | Home | 21.9 | 32.0 | 218.9 | 2.6 | 1.2 | 1.6 | 0.2 |
| Justin Fields | NYJ | PIT | Home | 21.0 | 31.2 | 215.0 | 1.3 | 0.7 | 3.4 | 0.9 |
| Cam Ward | TEN | DEN | Away | 20.6 | 32.8 | 214.8 | 1.4 | 2.0 | 4.0 | 0.9 |
| Joe Flacco | CLE | CIN | Home | 22.9 | 34.0 | 210.3 | 2.3 | 2.1 | 3.2 | 0.7 |
| Aaron Rodgers | PIT | NYJ | Away | 22.8 | 36.1 | 209.6 | 1.7 | 0.0 | 3.6 | 0.9 |
| Russell Wilson | NYG | WAS | Away | 19.4 | 31.3 | 208.7 | 1.9 | 0.2 | 3.8 | 0.6 |
| Dak Prescott | DAL | PHI | Away | 22.6 | 35.7 | 188.1 | 1.6 | 1.7 | 3.2 | 1.0 |
Jacob Kaminsky, Data Scientist
Jacob Kaminsky is a graduate of Virginia Tech and holds a Bachelor of Science in Computational Modeling and Data Analytics.